Part of: Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,022.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor chasing breakout
Moderately interesting sports momentum trade from a high-volume profitable bettor adding to a broader Spurs thesis across three related markets after a sharp price breakout.
- This bettor is up $442K lifetime across a very large betting history.
- They have put $12K across 3 related markets in the same event, pointing to a broader Spurs thesis.
- Spurs moved from the mid-50¢ range to 92¢, and this entry at 86¢ caught the breakout before the latest move.
$1,263 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable new repeat bettor
A 10-day-old repeat large bettor with early perfect results and +$15.1k P&L is buying Spurs -4.5 at 53¢.
- This new bettor is 5-for-5 so far and up $15.1k on $31.1k invested.
- They have now been flagged 3 times for large bets, with $12.8k total across flagged trades.
- Buying at 53¢ suggests they see Spurs -4.5 as modestly mispriced despite a liquid market.
$1,972 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Timberwolves +4.5 at 48¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $152k lifetime.
- They have traded across 80 events with the same 79% win record, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they see Timberwolves +4.5 as underpriced versus a near coin-flip market.
$2,433 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 81%
88% sports winner
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win record and strong positive P&L is buying Timberwolves against the Spurs spread at 49¢.
- This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved positions and is up $12.2k lifetime.
- Their wins came at around 50¢ average odds, so the track record is not just from backing heavy favorites.
- They bought Timberwolves at 49¢ in a balanced market, implying they see value on the underdog side of the spread.
$1,406 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable new NBA bettor
New 9-day-old wallet with early profitability is making another meaningful NBA spread bet, though track record is still small.
- This 9-day-old wallet is already up $1,177 with 3 wins from 3 resolved bets.
- They put $1,406 on Timberwolves +4.5 at 49¢, adding another sizable position relative to their short history.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this is mainly a new-profitable-wallet signal rather than a thin-market move.
$1,406 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 100%
Serial sports bettor momentum
Serial cross-market sports bettor made a meaningful Spurs -4.5 buy on a very thin market, and the price has already moved sharply from 52% to 74%, despite weak lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has traded 358 markets across 313 events, making this more than a one-off bet.
- The $1.5K buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume, so it was a meaningful position in a thin book.
- Entry at 52¢ has already moved to 74¢, suggesting the market followed this Spurs position.
$1,540 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 96706963, $7,376 (64% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 96706963, $5,537 (70% win rate)
- 0xc920...7914 — Outcome 96706963, $3,409 (58% win rate)
- 0x31ed...d916 — Outcome 96706963, $2,870 (100% win rate)
- 0xf20f...3b33 — Outcome 96706963, $2,385
- 0x00c8...9ccd — Outcome 96706963, $2,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x4bb2...a656 — Outcome 96706963, $2,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 96706963, $1,437 (74% win rate)
- 0x1dfb...0b3d — Outcome 96706963, $1,163 (86% win rate)
- 0x16ea...9400 — Outcome 96706963, $999
