Part of: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $242,832.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial spread bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is buying Timberwolves +9.5 despite the market currently pricing them lower than their entry.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,233 resolved bets and is up about $232k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 67 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off wager.
  • They bought Timberwolves at 45¢, while the market now sits near 38¢, offering a cheaper entry than the bettor paid.

$2,356 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 61%

94% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $228,909 profit bought Spurs -9.5 at 54¢, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $228,909 lifetime.
  • They have a long sports track record across 81 events with the same 94% win rate.
  • Entry at 54¢ implies they see Spurs -9.5 as meaningfully underpriced.

$2,700 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%

Linked cluster buying Spurs

High-conviction one-sided Spurs flow: 7 wallets bought about $70.8k into a 39x pre-game volume spike, including linked wallets and profitable large sports traders.

  • Seven wallets bought $70.8k of Spurs within two minutes, with three wallets sharing a funder.
  • This came during a 39x pre-game volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction before tipoff.
  • One participating bettor is up $1.2M lifetime with a 71% record across 2,054 resolved trades.

$70,796 on Spurs

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet bought Spurs -9.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike and related cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor is up $1.66M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved trades.
  • They have $18.8K positioned across 3 markets tied to the same NBA game.
  • The market saw a 94x pre-event volume spike, suggesting heavy attention before tipoff.

$3,047 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 54%

Sharp NBA spread bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and strong profit is buying Timberwolves against the spread amid elevated pre-game volume.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $90.6K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came around 53¢ on average, close to this 48¢ entry.
  • The market is highly active pre-game, with volume running 15x above its historical average.

$1,675 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 91%

New 8-0 sports bettor

New 17-day wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is already 8-0 with $7.1k profit, now buying Timberwolves spread at 48¢.

  • This new bettor is 8-0 on resolved trades and up $7.1k from $16.5k invested.
  • The wallet has been flagged 6 times already, with $9.6k in notable bets across 8 positions.
  • They are buying Timberwolves at 48¢ in a very liquid market, so the edge is the bettor’s early track record rather than market thinness.

$1,872 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new whale flips sides

A 4-day-old wallet with $206k early profit and repeated large flagged bets is buying $24.9k of Spurs -9.5 at 52¢ after closing the opposite side.

  • This 4-day-old bettor is already up $206k across $532k invested.
  • They have been flagged 5 times for large bets, totaling $265k in notable flow.
  • After closing a Timberwolves position, they bought $24.9k of Spurs at 52¢.

$24,853 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable new whale active

A 4-day-old wallet with $208k early profit and repeated large flagged bets is making $131k of NBA spread trades during a huge pre-event volume spike, though the mixed direction suggests active positioning rather than a clean one-way thesis.

  • This 4-day-old bettor is already up $208k and has had five large-bet alerts totaling $265k.
  • They traded $131k on this NBA spread while market volume spiked over 10,000x versus its historical average.
  • The latest effective position points to Spurs around 52¢, with a tight 1¢ spread and heavy same-day liquidity.

$130,815 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 96%

88% sharp sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $725k lifetime profit is buying Timberwolves +9.5 at 48¢, with a long history of profitable cross-market sports positioning.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $725k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 115 events with $1.44M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Timberwolves at 48¢ implies they think the +9.5 spread is mispriced despite a liquid market.

$3,717 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Timberwolves +9.5 at 48¢, despite the trade size being modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up $1.22M lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 142 markets across 83 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies they see Timberwolves +9.5 as better than a coin flip.

$1,001 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 12355688, $40,000 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x4852...67c4 Outcome 12355688, $24,475 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x33fb...6201 Outcome 12355688, $16,286 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 12355688, $7,744 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 12355688, $5,436
  6. 0x6323...9fee Outcome 12355688, $5,388 (94% win rate)
  7. 0xe49d...ff91 Outcome 12355688, $5,336 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x1dfb...0b3d Outcome 12355688, $4,167 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x4244...03a6 Outcome 12355688, $4,167 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x0347...7e7a Outcome 12355688, $3,900 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win close defensive game

Covers 6 related markets

Spurs win, total near 217

Covers 7 related markets

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 11 related markets

Spurs win close, total 218

Covers 12 related markets

Knicks win close, total 218

Covers 7 related markets

France Portugal Argentina won't win

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers Athletics exceed total

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

ResolvedTimberwolves vs. Spurs$242,832 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +320/-410
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$2,356 on Timberwolves at 45¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$2,700 on Spurs at 54¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$70,796 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$3,047 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$1,675 on Timberwolves at 48¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$1,872 on Timberwolves at 48¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$24,853 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$130,815 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$3,717 on Timberwolves at 48¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

50d ago

$1,001 on Timberwolves at 48¢

Related Theses