Part of: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $163,933.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Sharp NBA spread bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and strong profit is buying Timberwolves against the spread amid elevated pre-game volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $90.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins came around 53¢ on average, close to this 48¢ entry.
- The market is highly active pre-game, with volume running 15x above its historical average.
$1,675 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 88%
New 8-0 sports bettor
New 17-day wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is already 8-0 with $7.1k profit, now buying Timberwolves spread at 48¢.
- This new bettor is 8-0 on resolved trades and up $7.1k from $16.5k invested.
- The wallet has been flagged 6 times already, with $9.6k in notable bets across 8 positions.
- They are buying Timberwolves at 48¢ in a very liquid market, so the edge is the bettor’s early track record rather than market thinness.
$1,872 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new whale flips sides
A 4-day-old wallet with $206k early profit and repeated large flagged bets is buying $24.9k of Spurs -9.5 at 52¢ after closing the opposite side.
- This 4-day-old bettor is already up $206k across $532k invested.
- They have been flagged 5 times for large bets, totaling $265k in notable flow.
- After closing a Timberwolves position, they bought $24.9k of Spurs at 52¢.
$24,853 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new whale active
A 4-day-old wallet with $208k early profit and repeated large flagged bets is making $131k of NBA spread trades during a huge pre-event volume spike, though the mixed direction suggests active positioning rather than a clean one-way thesis.
- This 4-day-old bettor is already up $208k and has had five large-bet alerts totaling $265k.
- They traded $131k on this NBA spread while market volume spiked over 10,000x versus its historical average.
- The latest effective position points to Spurs around 52¢, with a tight 1¢ spread and heavy same-day liquidity.
$130,815 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 100%
88% sharp sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $725k lifetime profit is buying Timberwolves +9.5 at 48¢, with a long history of profitable cross-market sports positioning.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $725k lifetime.
- They have traded across 115 events with $1.44M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Timberwolves at 48¢ implies they think the +9.5 spread is mispriced despite a liquid market.
$3,717 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Timberwolves +9.5 at 48¢, despite the trade size being modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up $1.22M lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 142 markets across 83 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they see Timberwolves +9.5 as better than a coin flip.
$1,001 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x5b4e...0232 — Spurs, $47,794 (100% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Spurs, $35,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x6ac5...4b6e — Timberwolves, $31,057 (44% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Spurs, $26,449 (64% win rate)
- 0x4852...67c4 — Timberwolves, $24,475 (88% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Timberwolves, $14,461 (52% win rate)
- 0x86e7...613e — Spurs, $8,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Timberwolves, $7,744 (88% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Timberwolves, $6,753 (71% win rate)
- 0x6323...9fee — Timberwolves, $5,388 (97% win rate)
Related Theses
Royals beat Tigers tonight
Covers 1 related market
