Part of: Qatar vs. Switzerland - More Markets

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether Switzerland will beat Qatar by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 13 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Switzerland if they cover the -1.5 spread, otherwise to Qatar, using the official final score on fifa.com. PolySpotter is tracking $11,176 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including whale interest backing the Switzerland spread.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Qatar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $309,364.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying Qatar +1.5 at 41¢ during a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 950 resolved bets and is up about $450k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 58 events and 70 markets.
  • Qatar +1.5 was bought at 41¢ while market volume spiked 21x before the match.

$2,050 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 65%

New whale backing favorite

A 6-day-old repeat whale bought $11.2k of Switzerland -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 6-day-old wallet has now been flagged 41 times with about $460k in notable bets.
  • This trade put $11.2k on Switzerland at 59¢, backing them to win by 2+ goals.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume about 320x its historical average before the match.

$11,176 on Switzerland

10-wallet funded sports cluster

Strong 10-wallet funded cluster plus a highly profitable high-volume wallet buying Qatar +1.5 at 42¢ across a broader event thesis.

  • A 10-wallet group funded by the same address has $8.8K positioned around this market.
  • This bettor has 77,716 resolved bets and is up $1.3M lifetime.
  • They have $29.5K spread across 3 markets in this event, suggesting a broader game thesis.

$1,987 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 54%

New whale repeat buyer

A 6-day-old wallet with 38 prior large-bet flags is adding $6.9k to Switzerland amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A 6-day-old wallet has now been flagged 38 times for large bets, totaling about $446k in activity.
  • This trade adds $6.9k on Switzerland at 58¢ ahead of the match.
  • Market volume is surging at 265x its historical average, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.

$6,902 on Switzerland

New whale chasing spike

A 6-day-old repeat whale bought $10.3k of Switzerland -1.5 during a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 6-day-old wallet has now made 37 large flagged bets totaling $442.8k.
  • This trade adds $10.3k on Switzerland -1.5 at 58¢ ahead of the match.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 366x above its historical average.

$10,321 on Switzerland

New whale backs favorite spread

A 6-day-old repeat whale put $64.6k on Switzerland -1.5 during a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong conviction ahead of the match.

  • A 6-day-old wallet bought $64.6k of Switzerland -1.5 at 58¢ across three trades.
  • This same new wallet has been flagged 36 times with $439k in notable bets, showing repeated large conviction.
  • Market activity spiked over 1,800x versus its historical average, with this bettor driving a large share of recent volume.

$64,552 on Switzerland

New whale repeat bettor

A 7-day-old wallet with $432k in repeated large flagged bets put another $58k on Switzerland -1.5, showing notable whale conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 7-day-old wallet put $58k on one side at 58¢.
  • This wallet has now been flagged 35 times for large bets, totaling $432k.
  • The bet is large relative to this market’s recent activity, suggesting strong conviction on Switzerland -1.5.

$58,000 on Switzerland

New whale backing Switzerland spread

A 6-day-old repeat whale put $116k on Switzerland -1.5 in a market with only about $10k 24h volume, creating a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A 6-day-old wallet is making a very large $116k bet on Switzerland to win by 2+ goals.
  • This wallet has now been flagged 32 times for $345k in large bets, suggesting repeated high-conviction positioning.
  • The bet is more than 4x the market’s recent 24h volume and helped trigger a 3500x volume spike.

$116,000 on Switzerland

New repeat sports whale

A 6-day-old repeat whale is deploying large size again, buying Switzerland -1.5 in a relatively small pregame sports market despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already deployed $316k across 31 flagged large bets.
  • The $13.4k in buys is large versus this market’s $16.3k total volume.
  • Entry at 57¢ suggests a confident view that Switzerland win by 2+ goals.

$13,388 on Switzerland

New whale repeat bettor

Very new wallet has repeatedly placed large sports bets, including $25k on this Switzerland/Qatar game despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This wallet is only 6 days old but has already been flagged 31 times for large bets totaling $316k.
  • The bettor put about $25k into this game, far above the market’s $7.1k 24-hour volume.
  • Entry at 57¢ on Switzerland -1.5 implies a confident view that Switzerland win by 2+ goals.

$24,988 on Switzerland

Top Holders

  1. 0xcfb6...06da Switzerland, $402,246
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Qatar, $184,590 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x9243...658e Qatar, $151,088 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 Qatar, $46,286 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x0346...52a5 Qatar, $7,779 (53% win rate)
  6. 0xa85b...eb0e Qatar, $7,522 (86% win rate)
  7. 0xdaef...54e9 Qatar, $5,000 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xa697...59d5 Switzerland, $4,000
  9. 0x7ea5...de7b Qatar, $3,359 (62% win rate)
  10. 0xefde...6505 Qatar, $3,093 (50% win rate)

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Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1dQatar vs. Switzerland - More Markets$309,364 tracked10 signalsGamesSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup
Switzerland
60¢
Qatar
41¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Qatar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Switzerland
60¢
58¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

49m ago

$2,050 on Qatar at 41¢

41¢41¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

57m ago

$11,176 on Switzerland at 59¢

59¢60¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1h ago

$1,987 on Qatar at 42¢

42¢41¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1h ago

$6,902 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢60¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1h ago

$10,321 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢60¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

2h ago

$64,552 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢60¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

2h ago

$58,000 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢60¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

2h ago

$116,000 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢60¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

2h ago

$13,388 on Switzerland at 57¢

57¢60¢3¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

2h ago

$24,988 on Switzerland at 57¢

57¢60¢3¢

Related Theses