Part of: Türkiye vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,794.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a large 307-bet history is buying Paraguay at 90¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 307 resolved bets and is up about $203K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 35 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
  • Market volume is surging before kickoff, with this bet aligning with the move against Türkiye covering -1.5.

$2,469 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp cluster buying underdog spread

Surfacing because a highly profitable 97% lifetime bettor joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy of Türkiye despite the market moving sharply against the position afterward.

  • One bettor in the cluster wins 97% of resolved bets and is up about $1.05M lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $12.9K on the same Türkiye spread outcome at 23¢.
  • The market now prices Türkiye around 10¢, so the same thesis is available far cheaper than their entry.

$12,861 on Türkiye

95% winner buying underdog spread

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $5.8M lifetime profit bought $67.5k of Türkiye -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime.
  • They put $67.5k on Türkiye -1.5 at about 24¢, implying a high-upside contrarian position.
  • Market volume spiked sharply before the game, with this wallet driving major one-sided demand.

$67,533 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Highly profitable, high-volume bettor is positioning across five markets in the same Türkiye-Paraguay event amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 1,326 resolved trades and is up about $1.95M lifetime.
  • They have put $14.1K across 5 markets tied to the same game, suggesting a broader match thesis.
  • Market volume spiked sharply before kickoff, adding momentum behind this position.

$1,222 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable cluster buying spread

High-scoring coordinated Paraguay buy with multiple profitable/experienced wallets, a major pre-event volume spike, and a strong serial cross-market bettor involved.

  • A bettor up $1.95M lifetime joined this side, with a 66% hit rate across 1,326 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets bought $24.7k of Paraguay at 76¢, all in the same direction shortly before the scheduled match end.
  • This market saw a 3,795x volume spike versus its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.

$24,708 on Paraguay

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 10592635, $278,326 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 10592635, $117,654 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 10592635, $50,870 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x86e9...4cdf Outcome 10592635, $17,000 (97% win rate)
  5. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 10592635, $12,418 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x839e...0d3c Outcome 10592635, $10,000 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 10592635, $6,666 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 10592635, $6,000 (84% win rate)
  9. 0xc229...1b74 Outcome 10592635, $5,609 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xd34a...78c7 Outcome 10592635, $4,315 (76% win rate)

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Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

ResolvedTürkiye vs. Paraguay - More Markets$108,794 tracked5 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paraguay". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Paraguay
102¢
88¢
75¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

22h ago

$2,469 on Paraguay at 90¢

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

22h ago

$12,861 on Türkiye at 23¢

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

23h ago

$67,533 on Türkiye at 24¢

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

23h ago

$1,222 on Paraguay at 76¢

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

23h ago

$24,708 on Paraguay at 76¢

Related Theses