Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 27 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,518.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial near-resolution sports bettor bought Tampa Bay -3.5 at 24¢ just 1.3 minutes before market close, with a strong history of last-minute positioning.

  • This bettor is up $280,598 lifetime and repeatedly places near-deadline trades.
  • They bought Tampa Bay at 24¢ just 1.3 minutes before resolution, suggesting a live-game timing edge.
  • This is part of a 62-trade near-resolution pattern across 54 markets.

$1,042 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable sports bettor pregame

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Rays -3.5 at 24¢ shortly before market close in a relatively quiet spread market.

  • This bettor is up $1.2M lifetime across more than $23.5M in bets.
  • They bought Rays -3.5 at 24¢ just before the market closed, suggesting a late pregame view.
  • The bet was meaningful for this quiet market, at far above recent activity levels.

$1,042 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 44%

Profitable whale on quiet spread

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet made a fresh Rays -3.5 buy that dwarfs activity in an otherwise quiet MLB spread market.

  • This bettor is up $1.2M lifetime across more than $23.5M traded.
  • Their $1.4K buy is about 51x the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • Entry at 23¢ implies a high-upside bet on Tampa Bay winning by 4+ runs.

$1,435 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5268...135d Baltimore Orioles, $16,404 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x39d3...9ef0 Tampa Bay Rays, $10,580 (44% win rate)
  3. 0x5d1d...afd2 Tampa Bay Rays, $4,340 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x2302...d6d2 Tampa Bay Rays, $2,217 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xa697...59d5 Baltimore Orioles, $800
  6. 0x0d2d...7ff5 Baltimore Orioles, $463
  7. 0xc754...b388 Tampa Bay Rays, $355
  8. 0x2f4e...1fb8 Baltimore Orioles, $299
  9. 0x228b...af4c Baltimore Orioles, $278
  10. 0xfa5b...9b61 Tampa Bay Rays, $208

Related Theses

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Spurs win by five

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Thunder win low-scoring blowout

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)

ResolvedTampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$3,518 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Tampa Bay Rays
0¢
Baltimore Orioles
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 27 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TB
2
34-19
Final
BAL
11
26-30
TB -125BAL +104O/U 9.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
16,317
Price History — “Baltimore Orioles
102¢
82¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)

2h ago

$1,042 on Tampa Bay Rays at 24¢

24¢0¢24¢

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)

2h ago

$1,042 on Tampa Bay Rays at 24¢

24¢0¢24¢

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)

3h ago

$1,435 on Tampa Bay Rays at 23¢

23¢0¢23¢

Related Theses