Part of: Cowboys vs. Texans
Spread: Texans (-7.5)
In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Texans, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if the Texans win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cowboys". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $178,071.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
93% winner with a massive track record
A highly profitable bettor with 1,306 resolved positions and a 93% win rate bought Cowboys at 63¢, and the price has since risen to 72¢.
- This bettor has won 93% of 1,306 resolved positions and is up $7.49M lifetime.
- They put $2,078 on Cowboys at 63¢; the current price has risen to 72¢.
- The wallet has traded across 308 events, suggesting a repeatable record rather than a one-off bet.
$2,078 on Cowboys | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner adding to Texans
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% record is adding to an existing Texans position at 31¢.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved positions and is up $88,554.
- They added $2,214 to an existing Texans position at 31¢, with the market currently near 30¢.
- The wallet has placed bets across 28 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach.
$2,214 on Texans | Wallet win rate: 97%
Whale adding to Cowboys position
A substantial repeat purchase adds to an already $99k Cowboys position amid a 28x volume spike and related bets across three event markets, though the wallet's 46% win rate is not strong evidence of a predictive edge.
- The wallet added about $32k to an existing $99k Cowboys position, showing substantial same-direction conviction.
- Trading activity was 28x the market's recent average, and the wallet has positioned across three markets in the event.
- The wallet has a 46% win rate across more than 24,000 resolved bets, so its record alone does not establish an edge.
$32,446 on Cowboys | Wallet win rate: 46%
Whale scaling Cowboys exposure
A whale added about $70,000 to an already large Cowboys position, alongside a sharp volume spike, though its long-run win rate does not establish a strong edge.
- Added about $70,000 to an existing position of roughly $99,000 on Cowboys.
- Trades across three related markets coincided with a reported 65x volume spike.
- The wallet has a 46% win rate across 24,649 resolved bets, so its history is not strong evidence of an edge.
$70,141 on Cowboys | Wallet win rate: 46%
Whale adding to Cowboys position
The trader is adding substantial Cowboys exposure across related game markets and trading coincided with a sharp volume spike, though their long-term record offers little evidence of a durable edge.
- Added about $71k to an existing Cowboys position already worth roughly $99k.
- Bet across three markets tied to the game as volume spiked 64.8x its average.
- The trader’s 46% win rate and $186k profit on $94m invested are not strong evidence of a lasting edge.
$71,193 on Cowboys | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0x2c80...08ff — Texans, $9,997 (97% win rate)
- 0xd38b...5029 — Texans, $7,436 (81% win rate)
- 0x2d6a...8add — Texans, $1,551 (59% win rate)
- 0x7091...96f8 — Texans, $300 (74% win rate)
- 0x154c...658e — Texans, $263 (79% win rate)
- 0x492a...46ae — Texans, $98
- 0x48b0...a348 — Texans, $74
- 0x3da8...be26 — Texans, $69
- 0x2272...7d0d — Texans, $66
- 0x5c18...2f76 — Texans, $26
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