Part of: Texas State vs. Texas

Spread: Texas (-29.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,214.

Categories: Sports, CFB, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader adds Texas State

A proven serial trader with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,158 to an existing Texas State position at 52%.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 207 resolved trades and is up $343,048 lifetime.
  • The trader is adding $2,158 to an existing Texas State position, showing increased conviction despite the price falling to 44%.
  • Their 146-event, 174-market history indicates a repeatable cross-market trading edge rather than a one-off bet.

$2,158 on Texas State | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor leads Texas State accumulation

A sharp, high-volume bettor is adding to a Texas State position alongside two other wallets in a thin market, though the broader cluster has mixed track records.

  • The strongest wallet wins 77% of 207 bets, is up $343,000, and is adding to an existing Texas State position.
  • Three wallets committed $14,056 to Texas State in a market with only $700 liquidity and a wide 50¢–60¢ spread.
  • The other two wallets have poor lifetime results, so the signal is driven mainly by the proven bettor rather than the full cluster.

$14,056 on Texas State

Top Holders

  1. 0x418d...88a3 — Outcome 11514705, $4,150 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x7b47...d615 — Outcome 11514705, $3,037 (48% win rate)
  3. 0x51fd...4272 — Outcome 11514705, $500
  4. 0x5c54...f1d2 — Outcome 11514705, $131
  5. 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 11514705, $91
  6. 0xd4b7...d644 — Outcome 11514705, $70
  7. 0xefde...6505 — Outcome 11514705, $12 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x1fe6...e62a — Outcome 11514705, $5
  9. 0x3404...10d2 — Outcome 11514705, $4

Related Theses

Spurs win by double digits

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England wins on July 11

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Cavaliers beat the Pistons

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Spurs beat Timberwolves comfortably

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Spurs beat Timberwolves comfortably

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Lakers beat Thunder convincingly

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Cavaliers beat Pistons comfortably

Covers 2 related markets

France will not win

Covers 1 related market

Cavaliers beat the Pistons

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Texas (-29.5)

ResolvedTexas State vs. Texas$16,214 tracked2 signalsSportsCFBGames

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game by 30 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Texas (-29.5)

6d ago

$2,158 on Texas State at 52¢

Spread: Texas (-29.5)

6d ago

$14,056 on Texas State at 50¢

Related Theses

Spurs win by double digits
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 1 related market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
England wins on July 11
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 1 related market
Will England win on 2026-07-11…
Cavaliers beat the Pistons
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 1 related market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Spurs beat Timberwolves comfortably
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 2 related markets
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpread: Spurs (-5.5)
Spurs beat Timberwolves comfortably
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 2 related markets
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 2 related markets
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Lakers beat Thunder convincingly
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 1 related market
Thunder vs. Lakers
Cavaliers beat Pistons comfortably
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 2 related markets
Pistons vs. CavaliersSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
France will not win
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 1 related market
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Cavaliers beat the Pistons
Wallet_0x418d5 trades 1 related market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons