Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,930.

Categories: Sports, Basketball, Games, NBA

Notable Trades

74% win-rate sports sharp

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 74% win rate made a near-$3k buy after a major breakout, and the market has since moved sharply below their entry.

  • This bettor has won 208 of 281 resolved trades and is up about $180k overall
  • They trade heavily across 573 markets and 530 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Thunder at 86¢ after a sharp breakout, and the market now sits near 71¢

$2,988 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 74%

74% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 74% win rate bought Thunder -14.5 at 59¢ before the market jumped to 68% during an unusual pregame volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 208 of 281 resolved trades and is up about $180k overall
  • They bought Thunder at 59¢ and the market is now 68¢, so they already beat the move by 9 points
  • Volume in this market ran nearly 60x above normal before the game, backing the idea that sharp money showed up early

$1,975 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp trio piles into Thunder

Three wallets piled nearly $55k into Thunder -14.5, led by two highly profitable serial bettors with exceptional long-term win rates, alongside a major pregame volume surge.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have standout records: one wins 92% of 301 bets and is up $2.75M, another wins 74% and is up $180k
  • Three wallets bought nearly $55k on the same side within minutes as market volume ran 85.6x above normal
  • They entered around 58-61¢, suggesting they see Thunder -14.5 as meaningfully underpriced even after a 10-point move today

$54,967 on Thunder

Top Holders

  1. 0xc96a...396a Thunder, $107,127
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Suns, $98,061 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xdb27...c56e Suns, $82,110 (90% win rate)
  4. 0xfc25...1f7f Thunder, $81,810 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x37c1...c53a Suns, $61,065 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x1117...3532 Suns, $53,832 (58% win rate)
  7. 0xe1a2...14b8 Thunder, $29,622 (48% win rate)
  8. 0xee61...debf Suns, $18,874 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x2114...84c5 Thunder, $18,602 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xef27...381b Thunder, $16,665 (36% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Resolved$59,930 tracked3 signalsSportsBasketballGamesNBA
Thunder
100¢
Suns
0¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PHX
84
0-1
Final
OKC
119
1-0
Q1: 20-35Q2: 24-30Q3: 22-32Q4: 18-22
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -16.5O/U: 216.5ML: +850/-1450
Win Prob
0%
Poly: 100¢
Last Play
Game End
Q4 0:00 · PHX 84-119 OKC

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

2h ago

$2,988 on Thunder at 86¢

86¢100¢14¢

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

2h ago

$1,975 on Thunder at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

2h ago

$54,967 on Thunder at 60¢

60¢100¢40¢

Related Theses