Part of: Suns vs. Thunder

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,706.

Categories: Games, NBA, Sports, Basketball

Notable Trades

87% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong historical edge is buying Thunder -19.5 at 46¢, making this a notable copy-trade despite the modest stake size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up $664k overall
  • They have made 218 bets across 193 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Thunder at 46¢, a price that implies they see clear value in a blowout covering 19.5 points

$1,620 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 86%

96% win-rate sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Suns side of this spread market, making this a strong follow despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $204k on $4.1M invested
  • They have bet across 255 events and 306 markets, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play
  • They bought Suns at 59¢, implying they see Thunder -19.5 as overpriced at current levels

$1,748 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp-led 4-wallet cluster

A proven sharp wallet with an 84% win rate led a 4-wallet, $16.3k coordinated buy into Thunder -19.5 during a major pregame volume spike.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 84% of their trades and is up $866k across 352 resolved positions.
  • Four wallets bought $16.3k of Thunder -19.5 at 40¢ within minutes, showing coordinated conviction before the game.
  • Market volume jumped 138x versus normal, and entry at 40¢ implies they see the blowout cover as meaningfully underpriced.

$16,338 on Thunder

Top Holders

  1. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 11334184, $18,972 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 11334184, $10,257 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 11334184, $5,203 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x92b5...fec6 Outcome 11334184, $4,910 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x3b5a...bb9b Outcome 11334184, $4,190 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11334184, $2,875 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 11334184, $1,971 (80% win rate)
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 11334184, $921
  9. 0xe4ad...795c Outcome 11334184, $802 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x6fb6...6db2 Outcome 11334184, $702 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

MicroStrategy won't sell Bitcoin

Covers 2 related markets

Spurs dominate low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Pistons cover high-scoring matchup

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

ResolvedSuns vs. Thunder$19,706 tracked3 signalsGamesNBASportsBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 20 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PHX
45-37
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -17.5O/U: 216.5ML: +1000/-1800
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

45d ago

$1,620 on Thunder at 46¢

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

45d ago

$1,748 on Suns at 59¢

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

45d ago

$16,338 on Thunder at 40¢

Related Theses