Part of: Spurs vs. Thunder
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $283,496.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
7-wallet Thunder push
High-scoring alert driven by 7-wallet one-sided Thunder flow and a late Spurs-to-Thunder flip, though the lead wallet’s long-term record is weak.
- Seven wallets all moved toward Thunder, totaling about $42.8k in same-direction flow.
- The trades landed in the final minute before market close, suggesting a late pre-game view.
- The lead wallet closed a $14k Spurs position and flipped toward Thunder.
$6,094 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 46%
9-wallet last-minute Thunder push
High-scoring live NBA alert driven by a 9-wallet Thunder cluster, last-minute timing, and a sharp directional flip from Spurs to Thunder despite this specific wallet’s poor long-term P&L.
- 9 wallets bought Thunder the same way, totaling about $50.6K near game resolution.
- This wallet flipped from Spurs to Thunder in the final minutes, including a Spurs sell that equals buying Thunder around 59¢.
- The same wallet has made 139 near-resolution bets across 93 markets, suggesting a repeat live-betting timing pattern.
$7,645 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 46%
Serial live-game Spurs cluster
Three wallets bought $19.1k of Spurs +2.5 near resolution, led by a profitable high-volume live-sports trader with strong serial timing history.
- Three wallets bought $19.1k on Spurs +2.5 in the final minutes.
- The largest buyer is up $1.14M lifetime and has traded over $131M on Polymarket.
- This includes a serial late-game bettor with 140 near-resolution bets across 94 markets.
$19,111 on Spurs
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor put $31.4k on Thunder -2.5 during a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has a 64% record across 3,038 resolved bets and is up $13.4M lifetime.
- They put $31.4k on Thunder -2.5 at 55¢ across nine rapid buys.
- Market activity spiked 100x above normal before the game, supporting the move.
$31,387 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable whale-led cluster
A profitable high-volume sports whale and two other wallets, including linked funding, bought nearly $140k of Thunder spread shares amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor up $13.4M lifetime is leading this Thunder buy at 55¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side for about $140k, with two sharing a funder.
- Volume is surging before tipoff, and the market is still tight at 55–56¢.
$139,973 on Thunder
65% winner, $151K profit
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 65% record and $151K lifetime profit bought Spurs +2.5 at 45¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 252 resolved trades and is up $151K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 141 events with $246K in tracked volume.
- Buying Spurs at 45¢ is a contrarian position versus the market’s 44–56 Thunder lean.
$2,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 52%
93% winner backs Spurs
Elite 93% lifetime winner placed a $70K Spurs spread bet, backed by a long cross-market track record and strong profitability.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $1.59M lifetime.
- They put $70K on Spurs +2.5 at 44¢, a large single-position bet despite a liquid market.
- This wallet has traded 108 events across 143 markets with the same 93% win rate.
$70,155 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 89%
93% winner on Spurs
Elite sports bettor with a 93% record and $1.58M profit is taking Spurs +2.5 at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $1.58M lifetime.
- They are a serious repeat sports trader, active across 108 events with $1.54M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Entry at 43¢ gives a plus-money price on Spurs +2.5 against a liquid NBA spread market.
$3,529 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 70% win rate and $1.34M lifetime profit is backing Spurs +2.5 across this NBA event.
- This bettor has won 70% of 2,427 resolved bets and is up $1.34M lifetime.
- They are active across 3 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader Spurs-side thesis.
- Entry at 43¢ implies a potential 2.3x payout if Spurs cover +2.5.
$1,040 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 70%
Elite 93% sports bettor
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 93% record and major lifetime profit is buying Spurs +2.5 at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.58M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $1.54M tracked across 107 events.
- Buying Spurs at 43¢ goes against the market favorite, implying they see value on the underdog spread.
$2,562 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 30556939, $293,143 (89% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 30556939, $9,151 (76% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 30556939, $6,826 (70% win rate)
- 0x67b6...00bc — Outcome 30556939, $6,076 (45% win rate)
- 0xbc5b...3f6a — Outcome 30556939, $5,048 (85% win rate)
- 0x2768...2e81 — Outcome 30556939, $3,136 (70% win rate)
- 0x3450...6793 — Outcome 30556939, $2,174 (55% win rate)
- 0xd616...55aa — Outcome 30556939, $2,174 (100% win rate)
- 0x1b73...8688 — Outcome 30556939, $1,280 (92% win rate)
- 0x007b...adc6 — Outcome 30556939, $1,142 (46% win rate)
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