Part of: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,018.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Large bettor moves thin MLB spread
A large $8,048 bet in a thin market drove Detroit from 86% to 97%, making this a notable high-conviction sports position despite the trader's only moderate historical edge.
- The bettor placed $8,048 on Detroit at 86%, an enormous trade relative to the market's thin activity.
- Detroit's implied probability jumped to 97% after the trade, far above the prior 46% historical range.
- This serial trader has placed over $37.8M across 1,471 markets, though the 63% win rate is supportive rather than elite.
$8,048 on Detroit Tigers | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable whale targets thin market
A highly profitable long-term wallet placed a nearly $5,000 contrarian-sized bet in a market with only $88 of 24-hour volume, alongside a 23.5-point price increase.
- This wallet is up $3.23 million across nearly 20,000 resolved trades.
- The $4,970 Detroit bet is over 56 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The market has moved 23.5 percentage points in one day, supporting the significance of the position.
$4,970 on Detroit Tigers | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 81401328, $10,809 (64% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 81401328, $1,930 (66% win rate)
- 0x7b32...62bd — Outcome 81401328, $700
- 0x22da...2866 — Outcome 81401328, $148 (58% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 81401328, $75 (71% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Outcome 81401328, $43 (65% win rate)
- 0xfe74...3916 — Outcome 81401328, $21
- 0x758d...5d9e — Outcome 81401328, $20
- 0x228b...af4c — Outcome 81401328, $11
- 0x95f5...779f — Outcome 81401328, $10
Related Theses
Athletics win high-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
United States beats Bosnia
Covers 3 related markets
England beats Argentina
Covers 3 related markets
Spain advances in low-scoring draw
Covers 6 related markets
Padres beat the Brewers
Covers 2 related markets
Cardinals win a low-scoring game
Covers 2 related markets
Texas will beat Ohio State
Covers 1 related market
Tigers win by multiple runs
Covers 1 related market
DR Congo keeps low scorer close
Covers 3 related markets
Boston Red Sox will beat Miami
Covers 1 related market
