Part of: United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Spread: United States (-2.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,910.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Paraguay at 49¢ before the market moved to 96¢, with serial cross-market history and strong lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 9,394 resolved trades and is up $189k lifetime.
  • They bought Paraguay at 49¢, and the market has already moved to 96¢.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader, with $109k tracked across 64 events.

$1,114 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 65%

Three-wallet pro-US cluster

Three wallets sold Paraguay in the same window, effectively taking the United States spread side amid a 16x volume spike, though some flow may be profit-taking from prior Paraguay positions.

  • Three wallets put $15.4k on the same side, effectively backing United States to cover.
  • A new large bettor drove most of the flow with a $9.7k trade and has now been flagged twice.
  • Market activity is 16x above normal, with the spread price moving about 14 points recently.

$15,372 on United States

Sharp contrarian Paraguay buyer

A highly profitable 92% winner bought Paraguay at 55¢ as part of a small same-direction cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

  • A bettor who has won 92% of 153 resolved bets and is up $19.5k bought Paraguay at 55¢.
  • Three wallets took the Paraguay side for $4.4k, creating a clear same-direction cluster.
  • The trade is contrarian: United States odds have surged 71 points, while Paraguay is now around 20¢.

$4,365 on Paraguay

92% winner backs Paraguay cluster

A proven 92% winning bettor with positive P&L joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Paraguay against the spread for $6.3k.

  • A bettor who wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up $19.5k joined this side.
  • Three wallets bought the same Paraguay spread outcome for $6.3k in a tight window.
  • They paid 54–56¢ while the market now shows 46¢, suggesting a potentially better copy entry than the original buys.

$6,339 on Paraguay

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought United States at 46¢ amid a 22x volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.

  • This bettor has traded 96 related markets across 92 events and is up about $11K lifetime.
  • They bought United States at 46¢ before the market moved to about 55¢.
  • Volume surged 22x versus the recent average, matching the strong price move toward United States.

$1,720 on United States | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 42403217, $50,000 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xa37d...0c67 Outcome 42403217, $11,000 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x5da9...f4c3 Outcome 37037635, $6,231 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 42403217, $5,888 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x9f67...a882 Outcome 42403217, $5,600 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 42403217, $4,380 (55% win rate)
  7. 0xd881...af24 Outcome 42403217, $4,302 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xbb0b...3790 Outcome 42403217, $4,214 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x0cc0...5765 Outcome 42403217, $3,252 (79% win rate)
  10. 0xf7f0...912c Outcome 42403217, $3,247 (82% win rate)

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Spread: United States (-2.5)

ResolvedUnited States vs. Paraguay - More Markets$28,910 tracked5 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 12 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paraguay". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: United States (-2.5)

58m ago

$1,114 on Paraguay at 49¢

Spread: United States (-2.5)

1h ago

$15,372 on United States at 25¢

Spread: United States (-2.5)

1h ago

$4,365 on Paraguay at 55¢

Spread: United States (-2.5)

2h ago

$6,339 on Paraguay at 55¢

Spread: United States (-2.5)

2h ago

$1,720 on United States at 46¢

Related Theses