Part of: United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets
Spread: United States (-2.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,910.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Paraguay at 49¢ before the market moved to 96¢, with serial cross-market history and strong lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 65% of 9,394 resolved trades and is up $189k lifetime.
- They bought Paraguay at 49¢, and the market has already moved to 96¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader, with $109k tracked across 64 events.
$1,114 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 65%
Three-wallet pro-US cluster
Three wallets sold Paraguay in the same window, effectively taking the United States spread side amid a 16x volume spike, though some flow may be profit-taking from prior Paraguay positions.
- Three wallets put $15.4k on the same side, effectively backing United States to cover.
- A new large bettor drove most of the flow with a $9.7k trade and has now been flagged twice.
- Market activity is 16x above normal, with the spread price moving about 14 points recently.
$15,372 on United States
Sharp contrarian Paraguay buyer
A highly profitable 92% winner bought Paraguay at 55¢ as part of a small same-direction cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- A bettor who has won 92% of 153 resolved bets and is up $19.5k bought Paraguay at 55¢.
- Three wallets took the Paraguay side for $4.4k, creating a clear same-direction cluster.
- The trade is contrarian: United States odds have surged 71 points, while Paraguay is now around 20¢.
$4,365 on Paraguay
92% winner backs Paraguay cluster
A proven 92% winning bettor with positive P&L joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Paraguay against the spread for $6.3k.
- A bettor who wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up $19.5k joined this side.
- Three wallets bought the same Paraguay spread outcome for $6.3k in a tight window.
- They paid 54–56¢ while the market now shows 46¢, suggesting a potentially better copy entry than the original buys.
$6,339 on Paraguay
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought United States at 46¢ amid a 22x volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.
- This bettor has traded 96 related markets across 92 events and is up about $11K lifetime.
- They bought United States at 46¢ before the market moved to about 55¢.
- Volume surged 22x versus the recent average, matching the strong price move toward United States.
$1,720 on United States | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 42403217, $50,000 (92% win rate)
- 0xa37d...0c67 — Outcome 42403217, $11,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x5da9...f4c3 — Outcome 37037635, $6,231 (100% win rate)
- 0xf5e1...5ad0 — Outcome 42403217, $5,888 (52% win rate)
- 0x9f67...a882 — Outcome 42403217, $5,600 (60% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 42403217, $4,380 (55% win rate)
- 0xd881...af24 — Outcome 42403217, $4,302 (92% win rate)
- 0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 42403217, $4,214 (78% win rate)
- 0x0cc0...5765 — Outcome 42403217, $3,252 (79% win rate)
- 0xf7f0...912c — Outcome 42403217, $3,247 (82% win rate)
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