Spread: Warriors (-1.5)

This Polymarket-style spread market asks whether the Warriors will beat the Lakers by 2 or more points in the April 9 NBA game. The market resolves to "Warriors" only if Golden State wins by at least 2; otherwise, including a 1-point win, tie, or Lakers win, it resolves to "Lakers." The game is scheduled for April 9 at 10:00 PM ET and the market resolves after the matchup is completed, with $2,010 in tracked smart money and 1 recent smart money signal.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 9 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Warriors" if the Warriors win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,010.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

8-wallet funded cluster

An 8-wallet funded cluster with a long serial cross-market history is backing Warriors, giving this otherwise modest-sized sports bet stronger follow value than a routine single-wallet trade.

  • 8 wallets funded by the same source have been tracked across prior runs, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet
  • This trader has bet 39 markets across 37 events with a 65% win rate, showing repeat activity in sports-style markets
  • Bought Warriors at 51¢, close to a coin flip price with a tight 1¢ spread so the entry is still easy to follow

$2,010 on Warriors | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf988...d63b Lakers, $4,125 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x033d...fd1e Warriors, $3,941 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x5966...af5d Lakers, $520
  4. 0xc42c...42a1 Warriors, $512
  5. 0x987b...3d00 Warriors, $425
  6. 0xa697...59d5 Lakers, $380
  7. 0xa69c...890e Lakers, $158
  8. 0xee61...debf Warriors, $155 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x2513...91fb Lakers, $118
  10. 0x0152...b455 Warriors, $97

Related Theses

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Spread: Warriors (-1.5)

Resolved$2,010 tracked1 signalSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Warriors
51¢
Lakers
50¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 9 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Warriors" if the Warriors win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Warriors (-1.5)

11h ago

$2,010 on Warriors at 51¢

51¢51¢

Related Theses