Part of: Lakers vs. Warriors

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,986.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Pro bettor moved early

A highly active serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $1.6M profit bought Lakers spread before the market moved 11 points further in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 2,586 resolved trades and is up $1.6M lifetime
  • They bought Lakers at 61¢ and the market is now 72¢, so the move went their way fast
  • This wallet has traded 756 markets across 272 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$1,173 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 69%

86% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports bettor with an 86% win rate is buying Warriors spread at 47¢, making this a credible follow despite only one detection signal.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 2,442 resolved trades and is up $75k lifetime
  • They have traded 43 related markets across 41 events, showing a repeatable cross-market sports approach
  • Bought Warriors -4.5 at 47¢, a meaningful position but still near the current ask in a liquid market

$2,473 on Warriors | Wallet win rate: 71%

89% win-rate bettor

A wallet with an exceptional 89% win rate and strong edge is buying Lakers spread at 50¢, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the bet size being modest.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up $38k across 85 resolved bets
  • They bought Lakers +4.5 at 50¢, a price that suggests they see the spread as meaningfully mispriced
  • A second wallet shares the same funder, hinting this may be part of a broader coordinated view

$1,340 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x89bd...3f72 Outcome 21650677, $2,392 (93% win rate)
  2. 0xd71a...67f5 Outcome 21650677, $2,146 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 21650677, $1,706 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 21650677, $1,508 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xed8f...5aa7 Outcome 21650677, $1,057 (87% win rate)
  6. 0xea48...c596 Outcome 21650677, $956
  7. 0x1a3c...78b2 Outcome 21650677, $780
  8. 0x6919...7b24 Outcome 21650677, $591 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x7c67...a0e0 Outcome 21650677, $580
  10. 0x2bef...3afd Outcome 21650677, $500

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

ResolvedLakers vs. Warriors$4,986 tracked3 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 9 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Warriors" if the Warriors win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

LAL
51-29
Chase Center
GSW
37-43
Draft Kings
Spread: GS -1.5O/U: 222.5ML: -102/-118
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

44d ago

$1,173 on Lakers at 61¢

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

44d ago

$2,473 on Warriors at 47¢

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

45d ago

$1,340 on Lakers at 50¢

Related Theses