Part of: Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury

Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

This WNBA prediction market asks whether the Washington Mystics will beat the Phoenix Mercury by at least 3 points on August 25, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET. The market currently has $1,794 in tracked smart money across one signal, with recent sharp activity backing Phoenix; it is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed.

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,874.

Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA, Basketball

Notable Trades

92% win-rate sharp backs Phoenix

A highly profitable, 92%-win-rate bettor with 281 resolved positions is making a fresh $1,794 wager on Phoenix at 52 cents.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 281 resolved trades and is up $2.43 million.
  • The $1,794 wager is a fresh position on Phoenix Mercury at 52¢.
  • The trader has placed bets across 74 events, showing a substantial repeatable track record rather than a one-off result.

$1,794 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner scaling into Phoenix

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and 2,397 resolved positions is adding $3,080 to Phoenix Mercury at 51 cents.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 2,397 resolved trades and earned about $307,000 in profit.
  • They are adding $3,080 to Phoenix Mercury at 51¢, despite the market pricing Phoenix near 52%.
  • The wallet has traded across 966 markets and 736 events, showing a large, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$3,080 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x684b...8409 Phoenix Mercury, $9,846 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xb5b6...ca29 Washington Mystics, $6,540 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x6027...4320 Phoenix Mercury, $6,040 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xaf1a...ba1e Washington Mystics, $6,000 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x4df3...788f Washington Mystics, $2,804 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x2a69...d2f7 Washington Mystics, $2,096 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xc4c9...617d Phoenix Mercury, $2,000 (85% win rate)
  8. 0xdc41...dd7e Phoenix Mercury, $1,603 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xfe78...0319 Phoenix Mercury, $1,398 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xd4e2...0f82 Washington Mystics, $1,335 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

Messi won’t assist, Merino won’t score

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Diamondbacks Dodgers game goes over

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Diamondbacks beat the Rays

Covers 1 related market

Braves beat the Reds

Covers 1 related market

First inning run scores

Covers 1 related market

First inning run scores

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

ResolvedWashington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury$4,874 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesWNBABasketball
Washington Mystics
47¢
Phoenix Mercury
54¢

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Phoenix Mercury
56¢
50¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

18h ago

$1,794 on Phoenix Mercury at 52¢

52¢54¢2¢

Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

20h ago

$3,080 on Phoenix Mercury at 51¢

51¢54¢3¢

Related Theses