Part of: Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire

Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,007.

Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA, Basketball

Notable Trades

Proven sharp backs Portland Fire

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.38M profit made a concentrated bet in a thin WNBA spread market.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 2,531 resolved positions and is up $3.38 million.
  • The $3,623 Portland Fire bet represents most of the market's recent volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 52¢ implies the bettor sees Portland covering the spread as meaningfully more likely than the market does.

$3,623 on Portland Fire | Wallet win rate: 89%

Serial trader makes thin-market bet

A serial high-volume trader placed a $2.4K bet that represented nearly ten times the flagged 24-hour volume in a relatively thin WNBA spread market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest.

  • This trader has participated in 4,699 events and 5,519 markets with $50.1M in historical trading volume.
  • The $2,385 Mystics bet was nearly 10 times the market's flagged 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a thin market.
  • The wallet has a 65% win rate across 44,782 resolved bets, but its average winning entry price of 62% suggests only a modest demonstrated edge here.

$2,385 on Washington Mystics | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x27f7...44b0 Portland Fire, $8,241 (89% win rate)
  2. 0x2918...fe4a Washington Mystics, $5,400 (83% win rate)
  3. 0x684b...8409 Portland Fire, $4,918 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Washington Mystics, $4,790 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x32ed...f960 Washington Mystics, $4,293 (67% win rate)
  6. 0xdb83...1e50 Washington Mystics, $3,705 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x204f...5e14 Portland Fire, $2,604 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x5268...135d Portland Fire, $2,267 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xdbdd...a5de Portland Fire, $1,173 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x4df3...788f Portland Fire, $1,043 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)

ResolvedWashington Mystics vs. Portland Fire$6,007 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesWNBABasketball
Washington Mystics
41¢
Portland Fire
60¢

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Portland Fire
64¢
57¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)

2h ago

$3,623 on Portland Fire at 52¢

52¢60¢8¢

Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)

2h ago

$2,385 on Washington Mystics at 50¢

50¢41¢9¢

Related Theses