Part of: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?
This Polymarket asks whether SPY will close higher or lower on June 1, 2026 compared with its most recent prior trading-day close. It resolves after the June 1 market close, using the official SPY closing price; PolySpotter currently tracks $6,567 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including a profitable serial macro bettor alert.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 1, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 1, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,567.
Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, S&P 500, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet with a long resolved history is making a $6.6k same-day SPY Up bet, backed by serial cross-market activity and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has 1,706 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up $112k lifetime.
- They have traded across 29 event markets with $212k deployed, suggesting a repeat macro-style strategy.
- They bought $6.6k of Up at 78¢, and the market has already moved to about 80¢.
$6,567 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xdefe...17f4 — Up, $16,870 (63% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — Down, $3,424 (84% win rate)
- 0xa661...ef0e — Down, $3,194
- 0x50c8...caa2 — Up, $2,278
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Down, $2,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x41f3...844e — Down, $1,825 (45% win rate)
- 0xa1d5...1343 — Down, $1,705 (59% win rate)
- 0xd01f...ce7a — Down, $1,272 (46% win rate)
- 0x38d8...ea7c — Down, $1,021 (47% win rate)
- 0xa540...0b43 — Down, $1,002 (41% win rate)
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