Part of: Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Sweden and Tunisia, scheduled for June 14 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Sweden and Tunisia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,172.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Five-wallet sharp cluster

High-conviction five-wallet Under cluster with nearly $40k staked, including two highly profitable sharp wallets and a 68x pre-event volume spike.

  • Two proven bettors joined the move, including one who wins 93% of tracked bets and is up $105k.
  • Five wallets put nearly $40k on Under, with the largest fill about $19.8k at 46¢.
  • Volume is 68x above normal, and the group is buying Under after a sharp price drop.

$39,973 on Under

Linked wallets chasing Over

High-scoring Over move is supported by a large pre-event volume spike, sharp price impact, and linked-wallet activity despite this specific trade being modest.

  • Two linked wallets have put serious money behind the same Over side, with $137K tied to the shared funder.
  • The market saw a 67x volume spike and Over jumped about 29 percentage points, suggesting strong one-way momentum.
  • This wallet has deep Polymarket history and is up about $720K lifetime, though its win rate is only 54%.

$1,342 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%

$1.3M winner Under cluster

A high-scoring cluster of three wallets, including a $1.3M lifetime-profitable bettor and two linked wallets, put $66.9k on Under despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • A bettor up $1.3M lifetime led a $66.9k cluster buying Under.
  • Two wallets share a funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than isolated bets.
  • Under now trades near 36¢ versus their roughly 64¢ entry, making the copy price far cheaper than what they paid.

$66,858 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0xaa3c...3111 Under, $130,373 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $114,749 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x224a...a3d5 Over, $98,487 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x3dfb...abaf Over, $80,000 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea Over, $36,738 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x0346...52a5 Under, $34,304 (53% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Over, $28,105 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xda48...5926 Under, $7,000 (68% win rate)
  9. 0xe907...cff6 Over, $5,645 (47% win rate)
  10. 0x4f29...7a7e Over, $5,631 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Korea Republic beats Czechia

Covers 3 related markets

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

ResolvedSweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets$108,172 tracked3 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer
Over
55¢
Under
46¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Sweden and Tunisia, scheduled for June 14 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Sweden and Tunisia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Tunisia
TUN
1
World Cup
Live
85'
Sweden
SWE
3
Polymarket: 55¢
Venue
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Price History — “Over
46¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$39,973 on Under at 46¢

46¢46¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$1,342 on Over at 66¢

66¢55¢11¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$66,858 on Under at 64¢

64¢46¢18¢

Related Theses