Part of: Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Swedish Open match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Thiago Agustin Tirante, scheduled for July 15, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 22, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $35,954 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals tied to this matchup.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $143,233.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
19-wallet sharp cluster
Strong sharp-wallet and clustered-flow alert: an 85% winner with $1.18M profit joined a 19-wallet one-sided move backing Tirante before the market moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.18M lifetime.
- 19 wallets backed the same side, with $130K flowing toward Tirante.
- The trade was effectively buying Tirante around 67¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$28,767 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 85%
19-wallet linked tennis push
Strong one-sided coordinated buying: 19 wallets, including linked wallets, bought Thiago Agustin Tirante for $130k at around 60¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- 19 wallets all bought Thiago Agustin Tirante the same way, totaling $130k.
- The featured wallet added $7.2k at 60¢ and has made $1.78M across a very large betting history.
- The market then moved to 100¢, meaning this flow caught a major repricing.
$7,187 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 53%
85% winner adding size
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% record is adding to an already large Basilashvili position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
- They have put about $130K into this same side and just added another $24.5K.
- Market activity spiked 328x versus normal volume, suggesting broader attention around this matchup.
$28,789 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 85%
7-wallet linked tennis cluster
High-score coordinated tennis flow: 7 wallets bought $33k of Tirante, including linked funding, a huge pre-event volume spike, and one sharp 91% winner participating.
- Seven wallets bought $33k of Tirante within minutes, with 3 linked by the same funder.
- One buyer has won 91% of tracked bets and is up $113k lifetime.
- Market volume is up 704x versus normal, and Tirante has moved up 7 points today.
$32,978 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
85% winner adding size
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% record is adding to an already large Basilashvili position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
- They have put about $130K into this same side and just added another $24.5K.
- Market activity spiked 328x versus normal volume, suggesting broader attention around this matchup.
$24,546 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 85%
97% sharp adding size
Proven sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win record and strong cross-market history is adding meaningful size to an existing Tirante position.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $131.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events with the same 97% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- This is added conviction: the wallet now has about $22.8K invested on Tirante around 70¢.
$9,795 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 98%
97% sharp adding size
Proven sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win record and strong cross-market history is adding meaningful size to an existing Tirante position.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $131.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events with the same 97% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- This is added conviction: the wallet now has about $22.8K invested on Tirante around 70¢.
$6,169 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable tennis sharp buying favorite
Proven profitable sports bettor with a large track record bought $5k of Tirante at 69¢ on a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up about $969k lifetime.
- They have traded across 88 sports events with a 78% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- The $5k buy was large versus the market’s earlier activity and backed Tirante at 69¢.
$5,000 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 77515420, $121,993 (60% win rate)
- 0xe30e...6b87 — Outcome 77515420, $19,757 (85% win rate)
- 0x3233...a4dd — Outcome 77515420, $8,338 (66% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 77515420, $7,336
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 77515420, $7,300 (82% win rate)
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 77515420, $4,255 (94% win rate)
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 77515420, $3,500 (37% win rate)
- 0x5505...aa44 — Outcome 77515420, $2,873
- 0x55fd...b51a — Outcome 77515420, $2,569 (74% win rate)
- 0x9ee0...1006 — Outcome 77515420, $2,488 (79% win rate)
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