Part of: Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

This Polymarket market covers the Swiss Indoors Basel match between Valentin Vacherot and Rafael Jodar, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026. Current odds are not included in the provided market metadata; it shows one smart money signal, with a headline noting support for Jodar. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a fallback deadline of November 12, 2026 if no winner is determined.

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Rafael Jodar in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $127,792.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Rafael Jodar amid an 87x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

  • This trader is up $11.5M across a large history of resolved bets.
  • The market saw an 87x volume spike as the trader bought Jodar at 82¢.

$1,245 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Rafael Jodar amid an 87x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

  • This trader is up $11.5M across a large history of resolved bets.
  • The market saw an 87x volume spike as the trader bought Jodar at 82¢.

$1,873 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial trader placed a sizable Vacherot bet at 33¢, followed by a sharp price rise and an 18.8× volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 1,180 resolved bets and earned over $4.17 million.
  • They bought Vacherot at 33¢; the price has since risen to 50%.
  • Market volume surged to 18.8× its historical average around the trade.

$9,453 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Rafael Jodar amid an 87x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

  • This trader is up $11.5M across a large history of resolved bets.
  • The market saw an 87x volume spike as the trader bought Jodar at 82¢.

$2,174 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven high-stakes bettor adding to Jodar

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% record and $1.2M in lifetime profit added roughly $40K to an already large Jodar position, despite the market now trading below their entry.

  • This bettor has won 376 of 401 resolved trades and earned $1.2M on nearly $14.4M invested.
  • They added about $40K to an existing $130K Jodar position, showing strong continued conviction.
  • Their weighted entry was about 75¢, while current odds are around 64¢.

$40,278 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% winner adds to Jodar position

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% record and more than $1.2M in profits added roughly $63.5K to an existing Rafael Jodar position during an 87x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 376 of 401 resolved bets and is up $1.2M.
  • They added about $63.5K to Rafael Jodar, building on an existing $130K position.
  • Trading activity was 87 times the market’s historical average, with entries around 76¢.

$63,537 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Rafael Jodar amid an 87x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

  • This trader is up $11.5M across a large history of resolved bets.
  • The market saw an 87x volume spike as the trader bought Jodar at 82¢.

$1,184 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven 76% winner backs Jodar

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 76% win rate is placing an $8,048 wager on Rafael Jodar despite the 72% entry price.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 144 resolved bets and is up $451,077 lifetime.
  • They put $8,048 on Rafael Jodar at 72¢, a substantial bet from a proven cross-market trader.
  • Their average winning entry is around 51¢, well below this trade’s 72¢ price.

$8,048 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 78%

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

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Paraguay fails to win

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Austria routs Argentina after halftime

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Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

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Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

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Ecuador wins big to nil

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Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

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Iraq upsets toothless France

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France wins exactly 2-0

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Norway and Senegal draw

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Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar$127,792 tracked8 signalsTennisSportsGames
Valentin Vacherot
100¢
Rafael Jodar
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Rafael Jodar in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Valentin Vacherot”
30¢
29¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 13:00 UTC

$1,245 on Rafael Jodar at 82¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 12:30 UTC

$1,873 on Rafael Jodar at 82¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 12:11 UTC

$9,453 on Valentin Vacherot at 33¢

33¢→100¢↑67¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 12:11 UTC

$2,174 on Rafael Jodar at 82¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 11:54 UTC

$40,278 on Rafael Jodar at 75¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 11:48 UTC

$63,537 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 11:48 UTC

$1,184 on Rafael Jodar at 82¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 11:04 UTC

$8,048 on Rafael Jodar at 72¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
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Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
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Austria routs Argentina after halftime
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Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
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Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
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Ecuador wins big to nil
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Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
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Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
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Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
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France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
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Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?