Part of: Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
This prediction market covers the Swiss Open tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Stefanos Tsitsipas, scheduled for July 17, 2026. It resolves based on which player advances, with final resolution expected by July 24, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $97,722 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including sharp tennis whale and high win-rate sports sharp alerts.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $144,197.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp tennis whale cluster
A profitable high-volume tennis bettor is adding heavily to Tsitsipas alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has already moved well above their entry.
- A bettor with a 97% record and $573K profit drove most of the $50K Tsitsipas buy flow.
- Three wallets all bought the same side, helping move Tsitsipas from around 67¢ to 82¢.
- This was an add-on position for the lead wallet, which now has about $75K invested on Tsitsipas.
$50,084 on Stefanos Tsitsipas
97% sports sharp adding
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought $47.6k of Tsitsipas, adding to a larger position as volume spiked and the price moved sharply in their favor.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $573k lifetime.
- They bought $47.6k more of Tsitsipas around 67¢, bringing their position to about $75k invested.
- The market saw a 113x volume spike, and Tsitsipas has already moved from 67¢ to 76¢.
$47,638 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% sports sharp
Proven high-edge sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $5.0M profit is taking a $19.5k underdog position despite slight adverse price movement.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $5.0M lifetime.
- They bought $19.5k of the underdog at 40–41¢, implying a strong view against the 38% current market price.
- This wallet has traded across 442 events with the same 96% win rate, making this more than a one-off bet.
$19,450 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 96%
Proven serial sports bettor
Proven sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $443k profit is backing Tsitsipas in a liquid tennis market, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $443k lifetime.
- They have traded across 561 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 63¢ implies they see Tsitsipas as underpriced despite the market already favoring him.
$1,200 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 77%
99% winner backing favorite
Elite, highly profitable sports bettor with a massive 99% historical win rate is taking an $11k position on Tsitsipas at 63¢.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,372 resolved positions and is up $15.6M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 345 events with $2.37M in similar cross-market activity tracked.
- The $11k buy at 63¢ shows meaningful conviction on Tsitsipas despite an already liquid market.
$11,025 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite bettor backs underdog
Highly profitable 80% winner with a long serial cross-market history is taking a $10k position on the 38¢ underdog.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 550 events with $10.8M in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $10k buy at 38¢ backs the underdog and implies meaningful upside if their read is right.
$10,000 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 81%
94% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and strong edge is adding a meaningful Tsitsipas position in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $31,433 lifetime.
- They are backing Tsitsipas with $4,800 at 62¢, adding to a $7,750 position.
- The bet was large for this market, over 2x the recent 24h volume flagged by the detector.
$4,800 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 10233280, $26,316 (81% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 10233280, $24,015 (96% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10233280, $22,740 (62% win rate)
- 0x400d...28af — Outcome 10233280, $20,295 (94% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 10233280, $16,468 (77% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 10233280, $9,904 (57% win rate)
- 0x47f4...936b — Outcome 10233280, $9,329 (56% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 10233280, $8,300 (82% win rate)
- 0xa526...c9f9 — Outcome 10233280, $6,167 (63% win rate)
- 0xbef6...f2f9 — Outcome 10233280, $5,994 (44% win rate)
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