Part of: Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
This prediction market covers the Swiss Open tennis match between Jaime Faria and Stan Wawrinka, scheduled for July 13, 2026. It resolves based on which player advances, with final resolution expected by July 20, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $96,031 in smart money plus recent sharp activity around Wawrinka and the underdog side.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $169,177.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
98% sharp-led cluster
Strong one-sided Wawrinka flow from 3 wallets, including a 98% winner adding size, with linked-wallet clustering and a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who has won 46 of 47 resolved positions is adding to a large Wawrinka position.
- Three wallets bought $96K of Wawrinka, with two wallets sharing the same funder.
- Market volume spiked 110x before the match, suggesting a concentrated wave of informed positioning.
$96,031 on Stan Wawrinka
Four-wallet one-sided surge
A four-wallet cluster bought $66.7K of Jaime Faria amid a massive pre-event volume spike, with one large profitable wallet already heavily positioned the same way.
- Four wallets bought $66.7K on the same side during a 265x volume spike.
- The biggest buyer already had a large Faria position and has $785K profit on a small 6-0 resolved record.
- Current price is 48¢, well below the cluster’s roughly 58¢ average entry.
$46,535 on Jaime Faria
96% sharp buying underdog
Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and nearly $4.9M profit is taking a $12k position on Wawrinka at 42¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $4.9M lifetime.
- They have traded across 409 events with a 96% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $12k buy at 42¢ backs Wawrinka as the underdog despite Faria being priced as favorite.
$12,011 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 96%
92% sharp adding to Wawrinka
Proven high-edge sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is adding to a Stan Wawrinka position at 39¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $28,933 lifetime.
- They are adding to a Wawrinka position, with $5,177 already invested at a 39¢ average entry.
- Entry at 39¢ implies they see Wawrinka as a ~2.6x opportunity.
$2,000 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 94%
95% winner adding underdog
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 95% historical win rate is adding to an existing Stan Wawrinka underdog position at 34¢, with linked-wallet history adding confidence.
- This bettor has won 95% of 2,107 resolved positions and is up $478K lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Stan Wawrinka position, now with $6.7K invested at a 34¢ average entry.
- The wallet is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster seen in prior runs, suggesting this is not a random small bet.
$1,700 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 95%
76% win-rate sports sharp
Proven profitable sports trader with a 76% win rate and large lifetime P&L is buying Jaime Faria at 67¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $848K lifetime.
- They have bet across 62 sports events with $1.4M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Buying Faria at 67¢ suggests continued confidence despite the market already favoring him.
$7,500 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 79%
91% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate and massive resolved sample is buying Wawrinka at 34¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.34M lifetime.
- They have traded across 220 events with the same 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 34¢ backs Wawrinka as a live underdog with roughly 3x payout if right.
$3,400 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x7d6d...2654 — Outcome 10111429, $213,383 (98% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 10111429, $28,447 (96% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10111429, $24,485 (63% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 10111429, $17,812 (57% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 10111429, $10,039 (77% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 10111429, $10,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 10111429, $8,806 (54% win rate)
- 0x81f6...4488 — Outcome 10111429, $7,692 (84% win rate)
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 10111429, $5,177 (94% win rate)
- 0xa6c9...7863 — Outcome 10111429, $5,000
Related Theses
Norway England goalfest starts early
Covers 5 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France wins high-scoring thriller
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Norway advances in goalfest
Covers 3 related markets
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Covers 3 related markets
