Part of: Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Swiss Open match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Casper Ruud, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 24, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,197 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $101,833.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 82% win rate is buying Casper Ruud amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $628K lifetime.
- They have traded across 852 events, suggesting a specialized repeat sports-betting process.
- This market just saw a 177x volume spike, with the bettor entering Ruud at 77¢.
$1,197 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp cluster chased live move
A large one-sided Cerundolo cluster, including a highly profitable 96% winner, drove a major odds move from roughly 39% to 83%.
- Five wallets put about $59K behind Cerundolo, pushing him from long-shot pricing to an 83% favorite.
- One lead bettor has won 96% of resolved bets and is up nearly $5M lifetime.
- The market saw a 68x volume spike and a 44-point move toward Cerundolo.
$59,298 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Cerundolo as an underdog amid a pre-match volume spike, though the position is small and has moved against them.
- This bettor is up $4.3M across more than 10,000 resolved markets.
- They have traded 980 events and win 64% of resolved bets, suggesting real sports-market experience.
- Cerundolo was bought at 36¢ during a 36.8x pre-match volume spike, though the market has since moved down to 29¢.
$1,257 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 64%
97% winner adding position
Elite 97% win-rate sports wallet is adding to an existing Casper Ruud position after a price drop, with a volume spike and rebound suggesting conviction.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $563K lifetime.
- They added $5K more on Casper Ruud after already holding a $33K position.
- Entry around 65¢ has already moved to 71¢, with volume spiking 36.8x.
$5,001 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp bettor adding underdog
Proven sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate is adding to an underdog position despite the market moving against him.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $75k lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Cerundolo position, with about $5.8k already invested around 37¢.
- The market has moved against the entry, so current odds near 28¢ are cheaper than this bettor paid.
$1,140 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 82% win rate is buying Casper Ruud amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $628K lifetime.
- They have traded across 852 events, suggesting a specialized repeat sports-betting process.
- This market just saw a 177x volume spike, with the bettor entering Ruud at 77¢.
$3,983 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp cluster adding to favorite
Three wallets are adding nearly $14k to Casper Ruud, led by a profitable 85% winner and a new repeat large bettor with early gains, alongside a major pre-match volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $60.8k is adding to Casper Ruud.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $14k total, all increasing existing Ruud positions.
- Market volume is spiking 173x above normal before the match, suggesting concentrated pre-event conviction.
$13,958 on Casper Ruud
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is taking a large Casper Ruud position in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $57,882 lifetime.
- They have traded 30 sports markets with $378,267 deployed, suggesting a repeatable betting process.
- The $9,000 Ruud buy is large for this market and adds to an existing position around 72¢.
$7,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is taking a large Casper Ruud position in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $57,882 lifetime.
- They have traded 30 sports markets with $378,267 deployed, suggesting a repeatable betting process.
- The $9,000 Ruud buy is large for this market and adds to an existing position around 72¢.
$9,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11298283, $65,105 (63% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 11298283, $32,831 (97% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 11298283, $26,949 (76% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 11298283, $15,286 (77% win rate)
- 0xb38a...3293 — Outcome 11298283, $15,095 (83% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 11298283, $10,720 (82% win rate)
- 0x40e8...88a4 — Outcome 11298283, $7,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xdef2...0a80 — Outcome 11298283, $6,917 (90% win rate)
- 0x37e2...4b92 — Outcome 11298283, $6,014 (46% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 11298283, $5,609 (99% win rate)
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