Part of: Türkiye vs. Paraguay - More Markets
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $253,320.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Six-wallet late Under surge
Six wallets bought the same Under outcome during a huge volume spike, with the market immediately moving to 100¢, though the trade is no longer chaseable at current odds.
- Six wallets put $37.8k on Under in the same window, including one Over sell that is equivalent to buying Under.
- The market saw a 145x volume spike, and Under jumped 37 points to 100¢ after these trades.
- One participating wallet is up $416k lifetime, and another has traded 56 related events with a 65% win rate.
$37,823 on Under
92% winner joined Under surge
Sharp 92% winner bought Under before a major one-sided move, alongside 10-wallet flow and a 163x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $64.6K lifetime.
- 10 wallets bought the same side, totaling $52.4K on Under.
- Under has already jumped from this bettor’s 35¢ entry to about 70¢ after a 163x volume spike.
$2,163 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable bettor joins Under wave
High-score soccer alert: a profitable serial cross-market bettor sold Over, aligning with 10-wallet Under flow, a major volume spike, and a sharp price move toward Under.
- This bettor has won 74% of 853 resolved bets and is up $43K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all betting Under, with $52K flowing the same way.
- Over crashed from 57¢ to 30¢ amid a 163x volume spike, confirming strong market momentum.
$2,364 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%
10-wallet Under steam
Strong coordinated Under flow with a 10-wallet cluster, major volume spike, and 27-point price move makes this live sports move worth surfacing despite the main wallet's weak long-term record.
- 10 wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $52K on the same side.
- Under jumped 27 points while volume spiked 163x versus normal activity.
- This wallet is also active across 5 related match markets with about $69K deployed.
$29,921 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
90% winner on Over
Sharp 90% lifetime bettor bought Over despite a sharp market drop, with supporting one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.5K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $27.6K, adding support to the Over thesis.
- The market saw a 122x volume spike before the game, even as Over fell from higher levels.
$1,594 on Over | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp 9-wallet Under cluster
High-conviction Under flow from 9 wallets, including profitable sports/cross-market traders, moved the price sharply from the low 30s/40s to 55%.
- Nine wallets put $45K on Under, pushing it from the low 30s/40s to 55¢.
- One Under buyer wins 92% of tracked bets and is up $64K lifetime.
- Several serial cross-market sports traders are aligned here, with reported win rates up to 92%.
$45,061 on Under
Proven sports sharp buying Over
A proven profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and large lifetime profit is buying Over before kickoff amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $388,770 lifetime.
- They have traded 198 sports events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Market volume spiked 259x before the game, and this bettor put $3,000 on Over at 72¢.
$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable whales bought Over
Large Over buying is worth surfacing because multiple highly profitable sports wallets participated despite the market later moving sharply against them.
- Two major profitable wallets joined the Over side, including one up $11.1M and another up $16.1M lifetime.
- A 90% winner also bought Over, with 199 wins in 221 resolved positions.
- The market has moved against them from roughly 49–66¢ entries to 30¢ now, so this is a high-conviction but contrarian copy.
$122,395 on Over
Serial 74% winner
Worth surfacing because this is a high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample, positive lifetime P&L, and a $4k Over position.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $44k lifetime.
- They have traded 218 events with over $511k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- They bought $4k of Over at an average around 76¢, while the market is currently near 72¢.
$4,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%
2-day repeat sports whale
A 3-day-old wallet with repeated large-bet flags is putting another $5k into Over after going 8-for-8 on resolved positions.
- This new wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling $69k.
- The bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved positions so far, despite being less than 3 days old.
- A $5k buy at 73¢ is a meaningful bet in a market with only $8.3k traded in the last day.
$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 36999279, $181,263 (62% win rate)
- 0x374b...4a4c — Outcome 36999279, $18,000 (96% win rate)
- 0xcb58...43c2 — Outcome 36999279, $14,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 36999279, $13,900 (95% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 36999279, $8,129 (72% win rate)
- 0x69b2...5f6b — Outcome 36999279, $6,849 (100% win rate)
- 0x2e78...067e — Outcome 36999279, $5,356 (63% win rate)
- 0x9124...f819 — Outcome 36999279, $4,603 (100% win rate)
- 0x00a0...bf76 — Outcome 36999279, $4,500 (77% win rate)
- 0xf04c...5a2f — Outcome 36999279, $3,930
Related Theses
Bayern Munich wins May 16
Covers 1 related market
