Four wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $11k in the same direction. Volume jumped 12–20x above normal, and Under moved up 18 points before the game. This is a flow signal rather than a proven-sharp wallet; the main bettor has mixed results and negative lifetime P&L.

Bought Under at 70¢ before it jumped to 83¢, a fast 13-point move in the bettor’s favor. Market volume spiked 12.5x above normal, suggesting broad money moved toward the same side. This wallet is very active across sports markets, though its long-term P&L is negative.

Five wallets bought the same side for $46k, pushing Under from the low-50s/60s to 70¢. Market volume is running 22x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning. One serial cross-market trader is active here across 434 events, though the wallet profiles are mixed overall.

Part of: Türkiye vs. United States - More Markets

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $89,376.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

One-sided Under flow

High composite signal driven by one-sided Under buying from multiple wallets plus a sharp pre-game volume and price move, despite the main wallet’s weak long-term P&L.

Four wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $11k in the same direction.
Volume jumped 12–20x above normal, and Under moved up 18 points before the game.
This is a flow signal rather than a proven-sharp wallet; the main bettor has mixed results and negative lifetime P&L.

$21,007 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

One-sided Under flow

High composite signal driven by one-sided Under buying from multiple wallets plus a sharp pre-game volume and price move, despite the main wallet’s weak long-term P&L.

Four wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $11k in the same direction.
Volume jumped 12–20x above normal, and Under moved up 18 points before the game.
This is a flow signal rather than a proven-sharp wallet; the main bettor has mixed results and negative lifetime P&L.

$15,523 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader bought Under while volume and price were moving the same way before the match.

This bettor has a large track record: 67% wins across 739 resolved trades and about $8K profit.
They repeatedly trade related sports markets, with activity across 29 events and $90K total staked.
The market is moving with them: Under jumped sharply during a 12.5x pre-game volume spike.

$1,978 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%

Late Under momentum

Despite the wallet’s poor lifetime P&L, this looks worth surfacing because the Under buy caught a sharp late move from 70¢ to 83¢ amid a major pre-event/in-game volume spike.

Bought Under at 70¢ before it jumped to 83¢, a fast 13-point move in the bettor’s favor.
Market volume spiked 12.5x above normal, suggesting broad money moved toward the same side.
This wallet is very active across sports markets, though its long-term P&L is negative.

$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 56%

5-wallet Under surge

Five wallets put $46k on Under and the price has already jumped sharply, supported by a major pre-event volume spike despite mixed trader track records.

Five wallets bought the same side for $46k, pushing Under from the low-50s/60s to 70¢.
Market volume is running 22x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.
One serial cross-market trader is active here across 434 events, though the wallet profiles are mixed overall.

$46,102 on Under

New repeat bettor on Under

A 9-day-old repeat bettor bought Under at 66¢ before it moved to 72¢, alongside a major pre-game volume spike and meaningful price move.

A new wallet with 9 existing positions is making repeat larger bets, with $3.1K flagged so far.
They bought Under at 66¢ and the market has already moved to 72¢.
Pre-game trading volume is running 19x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$1,766 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 38214191, $22,658 (64% win rate)
0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 38214191, $11,117 (54% win rate)
0x03f4...7e44 — Outcome 38214191, $6,200 (61% win rate)
0x0ef4...f90a — Outcome 38214191, $6,014
0x410d...d831 — Outcome 38214191, $5,850 (38% win rate)
0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 38214191, $5,000 (99% win rate)
0x8dee...412b — Outcome 38214191, $3,333 (97% win rate)
0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 38214191, $2,582 (52% win rate)
0x6e33...b360 — Outcome 38214191, $1,636
0x5978...a870 — Outcome 38214191, $1,444

Related Theses

Exactly one first-half goal

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Algeria Austria stays low scoring

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Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match

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Colombia keeps Portugal close

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Panama Croatia tied at halftime

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Brazil wins three nil

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France beats Senegal

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Türkiye wins 2-0

Covers 5 related markets

DR Congo won't lose

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Algeria-Austria match gets canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5

ResolvedTürkiye vs. United States - More Markets$89,376 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Türkiye and United States, scheduled for June 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Türkiye and United States combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.