Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $225,829.

Categories: Games, MLB, baseball, Sports

Notable Trades

96% Win-Rate Bettor Adds to Orioles

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate added $25,257 to an existing Orioles position despite the market moving to 52%.

This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved positions and is up $417,575.
They added $25,257 to an existing Orioles position, showing continued conviction despite the price falling to 52%.
The trade comes from a serial cross-market bettor active in 51 events with $1.63 million in tracked volume.

$25,257 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% bettor leads Orioles buying cluster

A five-wallet Orioles buying cluster includes a highly profitable 96% bettor and coincides with a 300x pre-event volume spike, despite several wallets adding to existing positions.

A bettor with a 96% win rate across 26 positions placed the largest trade, buying $25,257 of Baltimore at 56¢.
Five wallets bought Baltimore for $42,824, alongside a 299.7x surge versus typical market activity.
Most participants were adding to existing Orioles positions, so the coordinated flow is notable but not entirely fresh conviction.

$38,643 on Baltimore Orioles

17-wallet Rays whale cluster

A heavily funded 17-wallet Rays cluster committed $114,430 near 50¢, including several highly profitable bettors, although substantial opposing Orioles flow makes the signal conflicted and the market is now resolved at 100%.

Seventeen linked wallets bought $114,430 of Tampa Bay at roughly 45–51¢, showing unusually concentrated conviction.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 94% and 95% win rates over hundreds or thousands of resolved bets.
The signal is conflicted by roughly $105,565 of opposing Orioles buying, and the Rays contract is now priced at 100%, so the original entry is no longer available.

$114,430 on Tampa Bay Rays

94% winner makes $47.5K game bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and $3.94M P&L made a fresh, concentrated $47,500 position across the game and its total.

This bettor has won 94% of 504 resolved positions and is up $3.94 million.
They placed $24,500 on Tampa Bay at 49¢, a significant position in a relatively quiet market.
The same bettor also bought the Under, suggesting a consistent game-specific thesis across related markets.

$47,500 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 95%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$225,829 tracked4 signalsGamesMLBbaseballSports

Tampa Bay Rays

100¢

Baltimore Orioles

0¢

Tampa Bay Rays

100¢

Baltimore Orioles

0¢

77-53

Final

BAL

63-68

TB +101BAL -108O/U 8.5Polymarket: 100¢

Venue

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Attendance

27,745

Notable Trades