Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
This MLB prediction market tracks whether the Tampa Bay Rays or Boston Red Sox will win their game scheduled for July 18 at 4:10 PM ET. The market currently shows smart money activity favoring Boston, with resolution after the game is completed; a cancellation without a makeup or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,317.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Serial sharp bettor exits Boston
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate made a substantial contrarian sale, though the position appears to have been overtaken by subsequent Boston price movement.
- This bettor has won 84% of 229 resolved trades and earned $229,379 in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 254 events with more than $2.09 million in volume, making this a meaningful signal rather than an isolated bet.
- The $1,728 sale of Boston at 86¢ implies a BUY on Tampa Bay at roughly 14¢, but Boston later reached 100%, so this may have been profit-taking rather than a fresh directional edge.
$1,728 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 84%
95% winner adds to Boston position
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to a large Boston position after entering at a substantial discount before a sharp price move.
- This bettor has won 95% of 37 resolved positions and earned $640,827 in profit.
- The $15,000 Boston purchase at 31¢ has risen to roughly 40%, while the wallet is scaling an existing $317,521 position.
- A 19.4x pre-event volume spike and 12-point daily price increase reinforce the directional move.
$15,000 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 95%
Two elite bettors back Boston
Two highly profitable, high-win-rate bettors joined a concentrated $6.5K Boston position, although the market has since moved against them and one participant is already heavily hedged.
- Two bettors with 84% and 88% win rates put $4,100 into Boston at 52–58¢.
- The three-wallet cluster committed $6,498 to Boston despite the market being highly liquid.
- Boston has since fallen to about 48%, so the copy opportunity is less attractive and may reflect short-term market noise.
$6,498 on Boston Red Sox
88% winner backs Boston
A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,091 Boston position despite subsequent price movement against it.
- This bettor has won 88% of 1,399 resolved positions and is up $309,404 lifetime.
- The fresh $1,091 Boston bet was placed at 58%, while the market has since moved to 40%, creating a potentially attractive discounted entry.
- The bettor’s average entry price is 54%, yet their win rate is far above that implied baseline, indicating a strong historical edge.
$1,091 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 88%
Proven 83% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with 83% wins across 550 positions and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Tampa Bay at 49%.
- This bettor has won 83% of 550 resolved positions and is up $841,001 lifetime.
- The 49¢ Tampa Bay entry is backed by a serial cross-market trader active across 55 events.
- The bet is near even odds, suggesting meaningful value if this bettor’s long-term edge persists.
$3,000 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 40070802, $1,168,462 (58% win rate)
- 0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 40070802, $201,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 40070802, $177,777 (47% win rate)
- 0xaa3c...5607 — Outcome 93061503, $99,999 (84% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 40070802, $45,778 (63% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — Outcome 93061503, $38,097
- 0x33ab...9523 — Outcome 93061503, $27,806
- 0x2e26...d96f — Outcome 40070802, $25,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 40070802, $23,199 (68% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 93061503, $22,222 (71% win rate)
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