Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,317.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor exits Boston

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate made a substantial contrarian sale, though the position appears to have been overtaken by subsequent Boston price movement.

This bettor has won 84% of 229 resolved trades and earned $229,379 in profit.
The wallet has traded across 254 events with more than $2.09 million in volume, making this a meaningful signal rather than an isolated bet.
The $1,728 sale of Boston at 86¢ implies a BUY on Tampa Bay at roughly 14¢, but Boston later reached 100%, so this may have been profit-taking rather than a fresh directional edge.

$1,728 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 85%

95% winner adds to Boston position

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to a large Boston position after entering at a substantial discount before a sharp price move.

This bettor has won 95% of 37 resolved positions and earned $640,827 in profit.
The $15,000 Boston purchase at 31¢ has risen to roughly 40%, while the wallet is scaling an existing $317,521 position.
A 19.4x pre-event volume spike and 12-point daily price increase reinforce the directional move.

$15,000 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 96%

Two elite bettors back Boston

Two highly profitable, high-win-rate bettors joined a concentrated $6.5K Boston position, although the market has since moved against them and one participant is already heavily hedged.

Two bettors with 84% and 88% win rates put $4,100 into Boston at 52–58¢.
The three-wallet cluster committed $6,498 to Boston despite the market being highly liquid.
Boston has since fallen to about 48%, so the copy opportunity is less attractive and may reflect short-term market noise.

$6,498 on Boston Red Sox

88% winner backs Boston

A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,091 Boston position despite subsequent price movement against it.

This bettor has won 88% of 1,399 resolved positions and is up $309,404 lifetime.
The fresh $1,091 Boston bet was placed at 58%, while the market has since moved to 40%, creating a potentially attractive discounted entry.
The bettor’s average entry price is 54%, yet their win rate is far above that implied baseline, indicating a strong historical edge.

$1,091 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven 83% win-rate bettor

A highly proven bettor with 83% wins across 550 positions and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Tampa Bay at 49%.

This bettor has won 83% of 550 resolved positions and is up $841,001 lifetime.
The 49¢ Tampa Bay entry is backed by a serial cross-market trader active across 55 events.
The bet is near even odds, suggesting meaningful value if this bettor’s long-term edge persists.

$3,000 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 40070802, $201,000 (94% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 40070802, $45,778 (65% win rate)
0x2e26...d96f — Outcome 40070802, $25,000 (100% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 40070802, $23,199 (70% win rate)
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 40070802, $15,305 (74% win rate)
0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 40070802, $11,997 (63% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 40070802, $7,500 (92% win rate)
0x2fbc...f944 — Outcome 40070802, $7,400 (76% win rate)
0xd3fa...a26c — Outcome 40070802, $6,122 (85% win rate)
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 40070802, $5,400

Related Theses

Athletics win high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Cardinals win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Athletics win high-scoring blowout

Covers 2 related markets

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

ResolvedTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$27,317 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 18 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

56-41

Final

BOS

49-48

TB -102BOS -118O/U 9.5

Venue

Fenway Park, Boston

Attendance

33,077

Price History — “Boston Red Sox”

102¢

74¢