Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

This event refers to Game 4 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,248.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball, MLB Playoffs

Notable Trades

Proven 95% winner backing Over

A highly profitable bettor with 874 resolved positions is staking over $21,000 on Over, more than six times the market's recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 833 of 874 resolved positions and is up $6.8 million.
  • The $21,280 Over bet is more than six times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trader has positioned across 839 events, suggesting a sustained track record rather than a one-off bet.

$21,211 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% winner with $1.9M profit

A highly profitable bettor with 3,748 resolved positions and a reported 95% win rate is buying Over at 50¢.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 3,748 resolved positions and is up about $1.9 million.
  • They are buying Over at 50¢, with a long history of trading across events.

$1,950 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial trader backs Over

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $36,000 on Over, backed by a 66% win rate across 362 resolved bets and over $4.6M in profit.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 362 resolved bets and is up $4.6M.
  • They placed $36,000 on Over at 51¢, a substantial position in a liquid MLB total market.
  • The wallet has traded across 340 events, showing a sustained record rather than a one-off bet.

$36,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%

Proven sharp backing Under

A highly profitable bettor with 422 resolved positions and an 87% win rate bought Under amid a 44.4x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 422 resolved positions and earned $1.59M in profit.
  • They bought Under at 49¢ as pre-event volume surged to 44.4 times its historical average.
  • The trader has positioned across 195 events, with over $2.9M in total trading volume.

$1,808 on Under | Wallet win rate: 87%

Proven 95% winner backing Over

A highly profitable bettor with 874 resolved positions is staking over $21,000 on Over, more than six times the market's recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 833 of 874 resolved positions and is up $6.8 million.
  • The $21,280 Over bet is more than six times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trader has positioned across 839 events, suggesting a sustained track record rather than a one-off bet.

$21,280 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a26...73c3 — Under, $39,925 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x21f3...35e3 — Under, $16,188 (87% win rate)
  3. 0xc660...bd28 — Under, $13,422 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x9703...69c2 — Under, $5,660 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x9b55...1167 — Under, $3,653 (94% win rate)
  6. 0xdd5e...9040 — Under, $3,547 (86% win rate)
  7. 0x5b62...d87f — Under, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  8. 0xc4fe...601f — Under, $951
  9. 0xa85b...eb0e — Under, $623 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x7091...96f8 — Under, $500 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series

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Bilibili reverse-sweeps Anyone’s Legend

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Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

T1 will sweep Hanwha Life

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Dplus KIA wins comeback series

Covers 4 related markets

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$82,248 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseballMLB Playoffs
Over
100¢
Under
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TB
0
98-64
Final
CLE
0
85-77
Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland

Notable Trades

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

2026-10-17 01:38 UTC

$21,211 on Over at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

2026-10-16 21:53 UTC

$1,950 on Over at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

2026-10-16 21:03 UTC

$36,000 on Over at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

2026-10-16 18:58 UTC

$1,808 on Under at 49¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

2026-10-16 15:47 UTC

$21,280 on Over at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

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Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series
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Bilibili reverse-sweeps Anyone’s Legend
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Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Marlins win, runs stay low
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Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Tigers win a high-scoring game
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T1 will sweep Hanwha Life
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Dplus KIA wins comeback series
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