Part of: Texas State vs. San Diego State

Texas State vs. San Diego State

In the upcoming college football game between Texas State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,797.

Categories: Sports, CFB (All), Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader backed San Diego State

A highly profitable, exceptionally active trader made a nearly $10,000 bet on San Diego State as its price surged sharply, while also positioning across four markets in the event.

A trader with over $10.6M in reported profit placed a $9,765 bet on San Diego State.
San Diego State’s price jumped about 53 percentage points in under five minutes, from the trader’s 83¢ entry to 97¢.
The trader also positioned across four markets tied to the same event, with $16,426 in total bets.

$9,765 on San Diego State | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable whale buying both sides

A highly profitable, heavily active wallet bought substantially more San Diego State than Texas State as the market moved sharply, though its simultaneous bets on both outcomes make the thesis less clear.

The wallet is up $5.27M across 53,447 resolved bets, though its 55% win rate alone does not prove an edge.
It spent about $8,167 on San Diego State at 48¢ and 73¢, while also buying Texas State—so this was not a clean one-way bet.
San Diego State has since reached 97%; its weighted entry was about 61¢, so the current price is well above the suggested entry ceiling.

$11,531 on San Diego State | Wallet win rate: 55%

91% winner adding to Texas State

A highly profitable bettor with 138 resolved positions is adding to Texas State at 40¢, supported by a serial cross-market track record.

This bettor has won 91% of 138 resolved positions and is up $62,845.
They are adding $1,140 to Texas State at 40¢, alongside an existing $3,650 position.
They have traded across 29 events, with a reported 30-point edge over average odds.

$1,140 on Texas State | Wallet win rate: 86%

Proven 89% winner backs Texas State

A highly profitable bettor with 3,044 resolved positions and an 89% win rate bought Texas State, with the market also moving upward.

This bettor has won 89% of 3,044 resolved positions and is up $5.5M overall.
They put $3,361 on Texas State at 62¢, matching the market’s current 62% odds after an 8.5-point rise in the last day.
The wallet has traded across 1,533 events, showing a substantial history beyond this single bet.

$3,361 on Texas State | Wallet win rate: 88%