Part of: The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns
The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,732.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sharp bettor caught 22-point move
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought Kalieva at 70%, followed by a 418x volume spike and a move to 92%.
- This bettor has won 88% of 3,716 resolved trades across 302 events and is up $339,654.
- The $1,061 Kalieva purchase at 70¢ preceded a 418x volume surge and a move to 92¢.
- The entry implied substantial upside, though the current 92% price leaves little room for a new copy trade.
$1,872 on Elvina Kalieva | Wallet win rate: 88%
Serial sharp bettor caught 22-point move
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought Kalieva at 70%, followed by a 418x volume spike and a move to 92%.
- This bettor has won 88% of 3,716 resolved trades across 302 events and is up $339,654.
- The $1,061 Kalieva purchase at 70¢ preceded a 418x volume surge and a move to 92¢.
- The entry implied substantial upside, though the current 92% price leaves little room for a new copy trade.
$1,061 on Elvina Kalieva | Wallet win rate: 88%
Large Kalieva momentum move
A major pre-event volume surge and 17.7-point price move support Kalieva, though the bettor’s large existing position and mediocre win rate weaken the copy signal.
- The market saw a 418x spike in activity versus its historical average, with Kalieva’s price moving sharply higher.
- This wallet added $2,286 to an existing $28,637 Kalieva position, showing continued conviction rather than a new bet.
- The bettor has a 54% win rate across 27,752 resolved trades, so the market momentum is more compelling than the individual track record.
$2,286 on Elvina Kalieva | Wallet win rate: 54%
Four-wallet Stearns cluster with sharp bettors
A coordinated four-wallet Peyton Stearns position combines an extreme volume spike with two highly profitable bettors and meaningful price dislocation.
- Four wallets put $13,837 behind Peyton Stearns, including bettors with 71% and 69% win rates and substantial lifetime profits.
- Trading volume surged to nearly 880 times its historical average, while Peyton's price moved sharply from the cluster's entries.
- The blended directional entry is about 52¢, implying meaningful upside if Peyton's current 38% market price is mispriced.
$6,849 on Peyton Stearns
New wallet scaling into Kalieva
A very new wallet is building a sizable Kalieva position amid an extreme event-volume spike, though its track record is too limited to independently validate the edge.
- A wallet only 1 hour 28 minutes old has invested $2,695 in Kalieva, including this additional $1,663 buy.
- The market saw a 1,017x spike versus its historical trading activity, suggesting unusually strong event-driven interest.
- The wallet’s 100% record is based on just one resolved bet, so the volume and position-building are stronger signals than its track record.
$1,663 on Elvina Kalieva | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x27c5...6d61 — Outcome 78184356, $111,669 (89% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 78184356, $19,939 (81% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 78184356, $14,863 (64% win rate)
- 0x32d2...8850 — Outcome 78184356, $13,338 (71% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 78184356, $11,540 (85% win rate)
- 0x7d6d...2654 — Outcome 78184356, $8,383 (95% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Outcome 78184356, $5,263 (79% win rate)
- 0xaa77...15a5 — Outcome 78184356, $3,660 (69% win rate)
- 0x04e6...3914 — Outcome 78184356, $2,769 (78% win rate)
- 0xed72...b8b0 — Outcome 78184356, $2,092 (71% win rate)
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