Part of: Thunder vs. Lakers
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5
This Polymarket NBA totals market asks whether the Thunder and Lakers will combine for 215 or more points in their May 11 game at 10:30 PM ET. It resolves to Over if the final combined score is 215+ and Under if it is 214 or fewer, with $17,012 in smart money tracked and recent sharp activity favoring Over.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Thunder and Lakers combine to score 215 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 215, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,248.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Two elite bettors align
Three wallets bought Over, including two highly profitable serial sports bettors with 97% and 78% resolved win rates, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market's high liquidity.
- Two proven bettors are on the same side: one wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $92K, the other wins 78% and is up $112K.
- Three wallets bought $8K of Over within seconds at 49¢, showing coordinated conviction.
- Both sharp wallets have broad cross-market histories, with over 40 events traded each and strong results.
$8,023 on Over
94% winner buying Over
Elite sports bettor with a 94% long-run win rate and strong profits is buying Over in a liquid NBA total market.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $267k lifetime.
- They have repeated this edge across 26 sports events with $61.6k in cross-market volume.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see the Over as mispriced despite a deep, liquid order book.
$1,972 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Million-dollar serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a large sample is buying Over 214.5 at 49¢ despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor has won 71% across 2,053 resolved markets and is up about $1.22M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 82 events and $400K in flagged flow.
- Entry at 49¢ suggests they see the Over as better than a coin flip in a deep, active NBA market.
$2,745 on Over | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 232 resolved trades is buying Over 214.5 at 49¢ despite only modest signal strength.
- This bettor wins 66% of resolved trades and is up $84K lifetime.
- They have traded across 33 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see Over as better than a coin flip.
$1,143 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%
94% sharp sports bettor
Sharp NBA bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Over 214.5 at 49¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $267k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 25 events, not just a one-off bet.
- Entry at 49¢ suggests they see the Over as meaningfully underpriced near even money.
$1,963 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
New profitable NBA whale
A 1-day-old wallet with $12.2k early profit is making another sizable NBA bet, buying $6.4k of Over at 49¢.
- This brand-new bettor is 4-for-4 so far and up $12.2k on $30.9k invested.
- They have already been flagged 5 times, with nearly $27k in notable bets in about one day.
- A $6.4k buy at 49¢ suggests fresh conviction on the Over despite a liquid market.
$6,402 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa2cc...0cbc — Under, $148,769 (53% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Over, $24,072 (52% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Over, $13,144 (71% win rate)
- 0xc787...64e8 — Over, $13,065 (100% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — Under, $12,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x162b...3d49 — Over, $8,547 (97% win rate)
- 0x17cd...7423 — Over, $8,031 (94% win rate)
- 0xe49d...ff91 — Over, $6,040 (57% win rate)
- 0xaca2...b9a1 — Over, $6,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x4244...03a6 — Over, $5,714 (51% win rate)
Related Theses
Spurs win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
