Part of: Thunder vs. Mavericks
Thunder vs. Mavericks
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $224,167.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
93% winner adding to Mavericks
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% record is adding $74,000 to an existing Mavericks position at 37¢.
- This bettor has won 98 of 105 resolved positions and earned $2.19M in profit.
- They added $74,000 to an existing Mavericks position at 37¢, with the market near 38¢.
$74,000 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 94%
98% winner adding to Thunder
A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial historical edge added $19,200 to an existing Thunder position.
- This bettor has won 47 of 48 resolved positions and earned $418,301 on nearly $2 million invested.
- They added $19,200 to an existing Thunder position, bringing their investment to $49,200.
- Their 40-event track record spans 43 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge beyond this single game.
$19,200 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 98%
96% winner buying Thunder
A highly profitable bettor with 96% wins across 388 resolved positions is buying Thunder, backed by extensive cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 371 of 388 resolved positions and earned $308,902 in profit.
- Their 96% win rate far exceeds their average winning price of 54%.
- They are buying Thunder at 64¢, with activity across four markets in this event.
$2,560 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 96%
Proven sharp on three event markets
A highly profitable bettor with 618 resolved positions bought Thunder amid a major event-volume spike and is active across three markets in the event.
- This bettor has won 87% of 618 resolved positions and earned $3.44M on $13.25M invested.
- They bought $9,867 of Thunder at 64¢ while event trading volume surged to 25 times its historical average.
- The bettor is positioning across three markets in this event, with $43,559 in total activity.
$9,867 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 87%
96% winner, but split across both teams
A highly profitable bettor with 388 resolved positions made a sizable Thunder purchase, though also buying Mavericks makes the overall game thesis unclear.
- This bettor has won 371 of 388 resolved positions and is up about $309,000.
- They bought $2,560 of Thunder at 64¢, but also bought Mavericks, so the overall direction is mixed.
- A 25× pre-game volume spike adds context, though the market is already highly liquid.
$3,667 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettors in a $105K Mavericks wave
A $104.6K Mavericks buying wave includes multiple historically profitable bettors, though substantial Thunder buying and a price decline make the direction contested.
- Thirteen wallets put about $105K on Mavericks, including bettors with records such as 92% wins across 464 resolved positions and 87% across 593.
- The Mavericks buys were mostly placed at 61–65¢, while the current odds are around 55¢, and another group has put about $48K on Thunder.
- Several Mavericks buyers already held positions, so part of this flow adds to existing exposure rather than opening a fresh position.
$67,355 on Mavericks
Seven-wallet Thunder cluster with sharp bettors
Seven wallets placed $21,399 on Thunder, including two highly profitable bettors with 91% and 92% win rates well above their average entry odds.
- Seven wallets bought Thunder for a combined $21,399 at 66¢.
- Two bettors in the cluster have 91% and 92% win rates across 302 and 1,196 resolved positions.
- Those bettors' average odds were 61¢ and 51%, respectively, well below their win rates.
$22,936 on Thunder
Proven winner adding to Mavericks
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate across 684 resolved positions added to a large Mavericks position at 34¢.
- This bettor has won 92% of 684 resolved positions and is up $6.6M.
- They added $1,854 to Mavericks at 34¢ while already holding a $76,424 position.
- They also traded three markets tied to this event, totaling $15,714.
$2,934 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 91%
Proven winner adding to Mavericks
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate across 684 resolved positions added to a large Mavericks position at 34¢.
- This bettor has won 92% of 684 resolved positions and is up $6.6M.
- They added $1,854 to Mavericks at 34¢ while already holding a $76,424 position.
- They also traded three markets tied to this event, totaling $15,714.
$1,854 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 91%
92% winner adding to Mavericks
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial lifetime profits is adding to a large Mavericks position at 33¢.
- This bettor has won 628 of 684 resolved positions and is up $6.6M.
- They are adding $6,600 to an existing $70,898 Mavericks position at 33¢.
- The bettor has traded across three markets tied to this game, signaling a focused event thesis.
$6,600 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x2117...5c26 — Thunder, $43,428 (48% win rate)
- 0xc576...b9d2 — Thunder, $36,091 (85% win rate)
- 0xcf0c...f2bb — Thunder, $31,193 (71% win rate)
- 0x84ec...72c1 — Thunder, $30,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xfb07...e2cc — Thunder, $16,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x2b3d...8db7 — Thunder, $14,109 (24% win rate)
- 0xb3e4...2061 — Thunder, $12,436 (65% win rate)
- 0x8652...b892 — Thunder, $11,535 (92% win rate)
- 0x96b1...da36 — Thunder, $10,960 (76% win rate)
- 0x8c6a...3dd7 — Thunder, $10,958 (83% win rate)
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