Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 20 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Timberwolves and Nuggets combine to score 233 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 233, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $127,619.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Linked sharp cluster on Over

Five wallets, including one with a 98% win rate and +$5.6M P&L, coordinated a $33k linked-funder buy on Over in a relatively thin NBA total market amid a 117x volume spike.

  • Five wallets bought Over within minutes for $33.4k total, and at least two share the same funder.
  • One wallet wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $5.6M, which makes this cluster worth tracking.
  • They entered at 48-49¢ in a market with only $5.4k liquidity, so this looks like concentrated conviction rather than routine flow.

$33,355 on Over

Linked 4-wallet Under cluster

Four wallets, including three linked by the same funder, simultaneously bought $15.2k of Under at 49¢ in a high-volume NBA total, backed by a long-history cross-market bettor network with positive P&L.

  • Four wallets bought the Under within seconds, and three are linked to the same funder.
  • This group put $15.2k into Under at 49¢, implying they think the true odds are meaningfully above a coin flip.
  • The wallets have deep history across hundreds of markets, including one up $1.33M lifetime and a broader network active in 278 events.

$15,199 on Under

New whale hammering Under

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly fired large bets and just placed a $79k buy on Under, a size that is meaningful even in this active NBA market.

  • A 6-hour-old wallet just bought $79k of Under at 48¢ after already triggering 6 large-bet alerts totaling $171k
  • This is a fresh position from a brand-new account, which points to strong conviction rather than routine portfolio management
  • The bet is bigger than the market's listed liquidity, so this trader is willing to size up aggressively on this price

$79,065 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0x6ade...f5b0 Over, $309,999 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x72d8...5213 Under, $214,527
  3. 0x2302...d6d2 Under, $79,219 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x2ce8...4527 Under, $43,972 (80% win rate)
  5. 0xfbf3...b218 Over, $27,302 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x1e77...8c33 Under, $24,218 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x84cb...28ad Over, $23,331 (98% win rate)
  8. 0x842a...7422 Over, $19,328 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x777d...5143 Under, $17,725 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x32cc...68b3 Over, $14,594 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5

Resolved$127,619 tracked3 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Over
93¢
Under
7¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 20 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Timberwolves and Nuggets combine to score 233 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 233, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
102
0-1
Live
Q4 6:39
DEN
105
1-0
Q1: 25-39Q2: 39-25Q3: 26-29Q4: 12-12
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -7.5O/U: 232.5ML: +240/-298
Win Prob
19%
Poly: 93¢
Last Play
A. Edwards driving reverse Layup (30 PTS) (J. Randle 5 AST)
Q4 6:40 · MIN 102-105 DEN

Notable Trades

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5

1h ago

$33,355 on Over at 49¢

49¢93¢44¢

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5

2h ago

$15,199 on Under at 49¢

49¢7¢42¢

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5

2h ago

$79,065 on Under at 48¢

48¢7¢41¢

Related Theses