Part of: Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Federico Agustin Gomez in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Federico Agustin Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Federico Agustin Gomez' if Federico Agustin Gomez advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,867.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Linked wallets backing Mrva
Three-wallet Mrva buying, including two linked wallets, coincided with a 35x volume spike and a 20-point price rise, though a larger opposing Gomez cluster weakens the signal.
- Three wallets bought $5,402 of Maxim Mrva, with two sharing a funder.
- The buying coincided with a 35x volume spike and Mrva rising from roughly 52¢ to 60¢.
- A separate $14,208 Gomez cluster is a meaningful counter-signal, so the trade has notable but contested conviction.
$5,402 on Maxim Mrva
93% winner backs Gomez
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial historical edge made a concentrated $9,000 wager on Federico Agustin Gomez alongside two other wallets.
- This bettor has won 93% of 209 resolved positions, earning $7.18 million while entering at average odds of just 48%.
- They placed a fresh $9,000 bet on Federico Agustin Gomez at 54%, joined by two other wallets for $14,208 of one-sided backing.
- The market now prices Gomez at 40% after a 20-point daily move, creating a potentially attractive but higher-risk entry below the bettor’s original price.
$9,000 on Federico Agustin Gomez | Wallet win rate: 38%
Veteran bettor buys Mrva amid surge
A highly experienced, profitable sports trader bought Mrva at even money amid a 79.5x volume spike and an 11.5-point price rise.
- This bettor has won 66% of 18,587 resolved trades and is up $5.9M lifetime.
- A 79.5x volume spike accompanied the $1,125 Mrva purchase, with the price already up 11.5% in one day.
- The entry at 50¢ suggests the trader sees meaningful value on Mrva near an evenly matched market.
$1,125 on Maxim Mrva | Wallet win rate: 69%
Sharp four-wallet Gomez cluster
Four wallets jointly bought Federico Agustin Gomez, including three highly profitable bettors with 80%-93% win rates, creating a strong coordinated signal despite the position moving against them.
- Four wallets committed $8,291 to Federico Agustin Gomez, with three showing 80%-93% win rates across hundreds of resolved bets.
- One bettor wins 93% of 209 trades and is up $7.18 million, while another wins 85% across 538 trades.
- The group added to existing Gomez positions at an average entry near 53%, signaling increased conviction despite the market currently showing 44%.
$21,339 on Federico Agustin Gomez
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