Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $100,068.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

99% bettor backs Toronto

A highly profitable 99% win-rate bettor joined a large linked-wallet Toronto buying cluster, although an even larger opposing Astros cluster makes the signal conflicted and the market is already at 100%.

  • A bettor with a 99% win rate across 1,623 resolved trades bought Toronto at 46¢.
  • Seven linked wallets committed $62,598 to Toronto, including multiple purchases well below the current 100% price.
  • The signal is conflicted because 21 other wallets also bought Houston for $190,272, and the market has already moved to 100% Toronto.

$62,598 on Toronto Blue Jays

Profitable serial trader buys Houston

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader bought Houston at 49¢ during an extreme 219x pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the trader's historical edge is modest.

  • This trader has 13,234 resolved bets, a 61% win rate, and $1.7 million in lifetime profit.
  • Houston was bought at 49¢ while unusual activity reached 219 times the historical average.
  • The trade is already marked up to 52%, supporting the direction but leaving only a modest edge signal.

$1,013 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp bettor scales into Astros

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $10,000 to an Astros position at 58%.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 584 resolved positions and is up $939,016.
  • The $10,000 purchase adds to an existing Astros position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The entry at 58¢ is below the current 62¢ market price, with room to follow up to 68¢.

$10,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp bettor scaling into Houston

A highly experienced sports bettor with 1,773 resolved trades and a substantial edge is adding to an existing Astros position.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 1,773 resolved trades and is up $250,874 lifetime.
  • They are adding $3,590 to an existing Houston position at 55¢, signaling continued conviction.
  • The 55¢ entry implies the bettor sees Houston as meaningfully more likely than the market’s near-even pricing suggests.

$3,590 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable serial bettor adds Astros

A profitable serial sports trader is adding a substantial $12,650 to an existing Houston Astros position despite only moderate supporting signals.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 169 resolved trades and is up $182,296 lifetime.
  • They added $12,650 to an existing Astros position, bringing total investment in the outcome to roughly $35,650.
  • The trade was placed at 55¢ in a liquid market, implying confidence that Houston is more likely than the market broadly suggests.

$12,650 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 68%

Elite bettors loading Houston

Three bettors committed $13.6K to Houston, including two highly profitable 90%+ winners, while driving an exceptional pre-event volume spike.

  • Two wallets win 90%–91% of their bets at roughly 49%–50% average entry prices, indicating a substantial historical edge.
  • Three wallets bought Houston for $13,640 within seconds, creating a 1,138x historical volume spike.
  • The largest bettor added $11,165 at 55¢, while another wallet is increasing an existing Houston position.

$7,716 on Houston Astros

92% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,500 Astros position.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 218 resolved positions and is up $300,594 lifetime.
  • The $2,500 Astros purchase is a fresh position from a trader active across 187 events and 239 markets.
  • Entry at 55¢ implies the bettor sees Houston as a stronger-than-even outcome despite the market already pricing it near 55%.

$2,500 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 70121451, $152,072 (51% win rate)
  2. 0xf3a6...71bd Outcome 70121451, $23,000 (68% win rate)
  3. 0xa804...2a75 Outcome 70121451, $17,261 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xd3fa...a26c Outcome 70121451, $17,241 (84% win rate)
  5. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 70121451, $15,253 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x37e9...eede Outcome 70121451, $13,744 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 70121451, $12,498 (69% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 70121451, $12,269 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x1d1a...0df6 Outcome 70121451, $11,183 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 70121451, $10,431

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

1dToronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros$100,068 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 3 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TOR
3
53-60
Final
HOU
1
58-56
TOR +129HOU -156O/U 9
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
22,789
Price History — “Toronto Blue Jays
95¢
69¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

4d ago

$62,598 on Toronto Blue Jays at 46¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

5d ago

$1,013 on Houston Astros at 49¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

4d ago

$10,000 on Houston Astros at 58¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

5d ago

$3,590 on Houston Astros at 55¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

5d ago

$12,650 on Houston Astros at 55¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

5d ago

$7,716 on Houston Astros at 55¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

4d ago

$2,500 on Houston Astros at 55¢

Related Theses