Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros scheduled for August 5 at 2:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; the supplied metadata does not include live market odds, but PolySpotter tracks $56,600 in smart money across two signals. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $93,232.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

12-wallet cluster backed Toronto

A linked 12-wallet cluster and major volume surge backed Toronto at 33–83¢ before the market moved to 100%, though the lead wallet's 54% win rate is only moderate.

  • Twelve wallets linked to two funders bought Toronto for $62,345 in concentrated one-sided flow.
  • The lead wallet has generated $2.78M in lifetime profit across more than 30,000 resolved bets.
  • Toronto surged from roughly 45¢ to 100% after a 46x volume spike, but the opportunity has already passed.

$44,891 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 54%

12-wallet linked Blue Jays cluster

A coordinated 12-wallet Blue Jays position, including a profitable high-volume bettor, drove a major price move from 41¢ toward certainty.

  • Twelve wallets backed Toronto for $62,345, with the wallets connected to two shared funders.
  • This bettor deployed $9,000 at 41¢, then added at 87¢, showing strong conviction as the price moved sharply.
  • The wallet has won 3,420 of 5,342 resolved bets and earned $2.88 million lifetime.

$11,709 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp bettor joins Toronto cluster

Three wallets converged on Toronto despite a sharp market drop, including a profitable bettor whose Astros sale equates to buying Toronto at 29%.

  • A bettor with a 71% win rate and $117,213 profit effectively bought Toronto at 29% by selling Houston at 71%.
  • Three wallets put $6,201 on Toronto as volume spiked 28 times above normal, despite Toronto falling to 24%.
  • Two participants are adding to existing Toronto positions, so the cluster is partly concentrated conviction rather than three independent bets.

$6,201 on Toronto Blue Jays

Five-wallet Astros conviction cluster

Five wallets concentrated $22,211 on Houston, including a proven bettor with a 91% win rate and a 111.7x pre-event volume spike.

  • Five wallets bought Houston for $22,211 at 67¢, creating a strong one-sided position before the game.
  • One participating bettor has won 91% of 4,239 resolved trades and is up $2.75 million.
  • Market activity was 111.7 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event interest.

$24,432 on Houston Astros

92% win-rate MLB sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,000 Astros purchase amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 204 of 222 resolved positions, earning $305,507 in profit.
  • They bought $3,000 of Houston at 67¢ despite the market’s sharp recent move, while a 253x volume spike signals strong attention.
  • The bettor has traded 245 markets across 192 events, making this part of a large, proven track record rather than an isolated wager.

$3,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor scaling into Houston

A proven sports bettor with an 81% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $3,000 to an existing Houston Astros position.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 474 resolved trades and is up $11,037 lifetime.
  • They are adding $3,000 to an existing Astros position at 63%, signaling increased conviction.
  • The Astros are priced at 62%, while this bettor’s track record suggests an edge over the market price.

$3,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1d1a...0df6 Outcome 64220549, $95,861 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 64220549, $38,321 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 64220549, $15,375 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x842a...7422 Outcome 64220549, $13,134 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 64220549, $12,495 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x6195...b9e3 Outcome 64220549, $7,350 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x300b...f636 Outcome 64220549, $7,246 (59% win rate)
  8. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 64220549, $6,035 (57% win rate)
  9. 0x3f08...ed44 Outcome 64220549, $6,000 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x7200...9299 Outcome 64220549, $5,256 (84% win rate)

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

3dToronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros$93,232 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 5 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TOR
5
54-61
Final
HOU
4
59-57
TOR +195HOU -208O/U 8
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
27,751
Price History — “Houston Astros
78¢
64¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

2d ago

$44,891 on Toronto Blue Jays at 45¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

2d ago

$11,709 on Toronto Blue Jays at 41¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

3d ago

$6,201 on Toronto Blue Jays at 29¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

3d ago

$24,432 on Houston Astros at 67¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

3d ago

$3,000 on Houston Astros at 67¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

3d ago

$3,000 on Houston Astros at 63¢

Related Theses