Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros scheduled for August 5 at 2:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; the supplied metadata does not include live market odds, but PolySpotter tracks $56,600 in smart money across two signals. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $93,232.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
12-wallet cluster backed Toronto
A linked 12-wallet cluster and major volume surge backed Toronto at 33–83¢ before the market moved to 100%, though the lead wallet's 54% win rate is only moderate.
- Twelve wallets linked to two funders bought Toronto for $62,345 in concentrated one-sided flow.
- The lead wallet has generated $2.78M in lifetime profit across more than 30,000 resolved bets.
- Toronto surged from roughly 45¢ to 100% after a 46x volume spike, but the opportunity has already passed.
$44,891 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 54%
12-wallet linked Blue Jays cluster
A coordinated 12-wallet Blue Jays position, including a profitable high-volume bettor, drove a major price move from 41¢ toward certainty.
- Twelve wallets backed Toronto for $62,345, with the wallets connected to two shared funders.
- This bettor deployed $9,000 at 41¢, then added at 87¢, showing strong conviction as the price moved sharply.
- The wallet has won 3,420 of 5,342 resolved bets and earned $2.88 million lifetime.
$11,709 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor joins Toronto cluster
Three wallets converged on Toronto despite a sharp market drop, including a profitable bettor whose Astros sale equates to buying Toronto at 29%.
- A bettor with a 71% win rate and $117,213 profit effectively bought Toronto at 29% by selling Houston at 71%.
- Three wallets put $6,201 on Toronto as volume spiked 28 times above normal, despite Toronto falling to 24%.
- Two participants are adding to existing Toronto positions, so the cluster is partly concentrated conviction rather than three independent bets.
$6,201 on Toronto Blue Jays
Five-wallet Astros conviction cluster
Five wallets concentrated $22,211 on Houston, including a proven bettor with a 91% win rate and a 111.7x pre-event volume spike.
- Five wallets bought Houston for $22,211 at 67¢, creating a strong one-sided position before the game.
- One participating bettor has won 91% of 4,239 resolved trades and is up $2.75 million.
- Market activity was 111.7 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event interest.
$24,432 on Houston Astros
92% win-rate MLB sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,000 Astros purchase amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 204 of 222 resolved positions, earning $305,507 in profit.
- They bought $3,000 of Houston at 67¢ despite the market’s sharp recent move, while a 253x volume spike signals strong attention.
- The bettor has traded 245 markets across 192 events, making this part of a large, proven track record rather than an isolated wager.
$3,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor scaling into Houston
A proven sports bettor with an 81% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $3,000 to an existing Houston Astros position.
- This bettor wins 81% of 474 resolved trades and is up $11,037 lifetime.
- They are adding $3,000 to an existing Astros position at 63%, signaling increased conviction.
- The Astros are priced at 62%, while this bettor’s track record suggests an edge over the market price.
$3,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Outcome 64220549, $95,861 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 64220549, $38,321 (63% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 64220549, $15,375 (60% win rate)
- 0x842a...7422 — Outcome 64220549, $13,134 (56% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 64220549, $12,495 (58% win rate)
- 0x6195...b9e3 — Outcome 64220549, $7,350 (69% win rate)
- 0x300b...f636 — Outcome 64220549, $7,246 (59% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 64220549, $6,035 (57% win rate)
- 0x3f08...ed44 — Outcome 64220549, $6,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x7200...9299 — Outcome 64220549, $5,256 (84% win rate)
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