Part of: Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch

This prediction market asks whether Tread’s official token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million one day after it becomes publicly tradable. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,197 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent smart money buying No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,197.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, FDV, Tread

Notable Trades

92% winner buying quiet No

Sharp-wallet override: a 92% winning bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought No in a quiet crypto launch market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $65K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 88¢ in a market with $0 volume over the last 24 hours.
  • The market is thin, so a $1.2K bet is a meaningful conviction signal.

$1,197 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3537...56ea — No, $1,461 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x8454...331a — Yes, $700 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x2ca0...3b9b — No, $671
  4. 0xed0c...5e23 — Yes, $362
  5. 0x30fd...0147 — Yes, $300
  6. 0x7e80...631b — Yes, $300
  7. 0xe8fc...0d3b — Yes, $100
  8. 0xc602...7fc1 — Yes, $80 (39% win rate)
  9. 0xad53...ef24 — Yes, $60
  10. 0x52fd...2ab7 — Yes, $50

Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch

574dTread FDV above ___ one day after launch?$1,197 tracked1 signalCryptoPre-MarketFDVTread
Yes
11¢
No
90¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No”
91¢
83¢
74¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch

1h ago

$1,197 on No at 88¢

88¢→90¢↑2¢