Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Tunisia and Japan, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Tunisia and Japan combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $319,387.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader cluster

High-scoring composite alert: a profitable serial cross-market trader bought Under alongside one-sided cluster flow and a sharp price move before the match.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 932 resolved bets and is up $371K lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $15.7K on one side.
  • The entry was 34¢ and Under has already moved to 46¢, so this looks like early sharp positioning.

$1,077 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Over despite the price later pulling back, making the bettor’s track record the main reason to watch.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 364 resolved bets and is up about $190k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 81 events, with $436k tracked in this pattern.
  • Over has strong recent momentum, up 14 percentage points in the past day.

$2,381 on Over | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp cluster fading Over

A four-wallet cluster is fading the Over move with $14.4k on Under, including a sharp bettor with an 85% record and positive P&L.

  • Four wallets put $14.4k on Under while Over is priced at 76%.
  • One bettor wins 85% of their bets and is up $8.6k lifetime; another is up $31k with a 79% record.
  • They entered around 17¢ on average, so the 24¢ current price is still within the copy range.

$14,430 on Under

89% winner buying Under

Elite 89% lifetime winner bought Under into a coordinated one-sided move with a major volume spike and favorable price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side for nearly $60K, including linked wallets.
  • They entered Under at 28¢ and it has already moved to 34¢, with heavy pre-game volume behind it.

$7,299 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%

5-wallet Under push

A 5-wallet cluster put $23k on Under, pushing the price up sharply, with support from serial cross-market sports bettors.

  • Five wallets all backed Under with $23k, moving the price from the mid-20s/30s up to 40¢.
  • Several wallets have broad sports-market history, including one serial cross-market trader up $371k lifetime.
  • The same-direction flow is notable because it hit across 13 trades in a highly active market rather than one isolated order.

$23,067 on Under

87% winner event thesis

Sharp sports wallet with an 87% resolved win rate is making a large Under bet while also positioning across three related event markets.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 15 resolved trades, beating average odds by a wide margin.
  • They put $23.9K on Under and have $40.2K across 3 markets in the same event.
  • Market volume is running 12x above normal, adding support to the move.

$23,850 on Under | Wallet win rate: 87%

6-day wallet up $31K

A 6-day-old repeat bettor with $83.8K already flagged and $31.4K in early profit is buying Over before kickoff, though the wallet's resolved sample is still tiny.

  • This new bettor is already up $31K on $89.7K invested despite only 2 resolved markets.
  • The wallet has now been flagged 7 times for large bets, totaling $83.8K in recent action.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies a near-even price with room if their early edge continues.

$4,910 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%

95% sharp sports whale

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $6.1M lifetime profit put $175k on Over amid major pre-event volume spikes and cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime.
  • They put $175k on Over, with recent buys around 48¢ after earlier fills across 32¢–62¢.
  • Volume surged over 400x the historical average as this wallet positioned across 3 markets in the same event.

$175,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

New whale backing Under

A brand-new wallet has quickly placed nearly $20k in flagged bets, including $10.6k on Under, during a sharp pre-game volume surge.

  • A wallet created about 1 hour ago has already made $19.6k in flagged bets.
  • This trade put $10.6k on Under at 53¢ before kickoff.
  • Market volume is running 31.9x above its historical average, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game interest.

$10,600 on Under

New pre-game whale

Surface cautiously: a 1-hour-old wallet put $19.6k into a same-game Under/Tunisia thesis during a major pre-event volume spike, though it has no track record.

  • A brand-new wallet immediately put $19.6k into two bets on the same match.
  • The market is seeing a 15–26x pre-game volume spike, suggesting broader money is moving in.
  • The bettor paid 53¢ for Under, slightly above the current market price.

$19,600 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0xc430...1ebf Under, $310,317 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x10a6...4d8b Under, $157,014 (74% win rate)
  3. 0xcd65...ee96 Over, $104,167 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xb4ba...daba Over, $90,000 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x0346...52a5 Over, $81,316 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x23d8...0288 Over, $63,000 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x224a...a3d5 Under, $53,758 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xfea3...d227 Under, $48,608 (57% win rate)
  9. 0x7c1e...bab3 Under, $45,000 (87% win rate)
  10. 0x2c33...0563 Under, $41,546 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Cavaliers keep low-scoring game close

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring close game

Covers 6 related markets

Knicks win big over Spurs

Covers 12 related markets

Spurs win in a blowout

Covers 18 related markets

Spurs win a close game

Covers 7 related markets

Spurs blow out Knicks

Covers 17 related markets

Spurs win low-scoring close game

Covers 10 related markets

High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match

Covers 4 related markets

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

ResolvedTunisia vs. Japan - More Markets$319,387 tracked14 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames
Over
55¢
Under
46¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Tunisia and Japan, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Tunisia and Japan combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Japan
JPN
4
World Cup
Full Time
Tunisia
TUN
0
Polymarket: 55¢
Venue
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Attendance
51,243
Price History — “Over
101¢
71¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$1,077 on Under at 34¢

34¢46¢12¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$2,381 on Over at 67¢

67¢55¢12¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

3h ago

$14,430 on Under at 17¢

17¢46¢29¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

3h ago

$7,299 on Under at 28¢

28¢46¢18¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$23,067 on Under at 40¢

40¢46¢6¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

4h ago

$23,850 on Under at 53¢

53¢46¢7¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

4h ago

$4,910 on Over at 48¢

48¢55¢7¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$175,000 on Over at 49¢

49¢55¢6¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$10,600 on Under at 53¢

53¢46¢7¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$19,600 on Under at 53¢

53¢46¢7¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$12,997 on Over at 47¢

47¢55¢8¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

8h ago

$2,300 on Over at 46¢

46¢55¢9¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

9h ago

$16,669 on Under at 54¢

54¢46¢8¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

9h ago

$5,205 on Under at 54¢

54¢46¢8¢

Related Theses