Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,138.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

74% serial event trader

High-scoring composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market sports trader buying Under, with major same-event positioning and favorable move from 90¢ to 96¢.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 210 resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
  • They have traded 4 related markets in this event for $126K, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Their Under entry at 90¢ has already moved to 96¢ after a sharp volume spike.

$2,341 on Under | Wallet win rate: 74%

Serial bettor caught Under move

High-scoring sports alert driven by a serial cross-market bettor buying Under before a fast move from 83¢ to 96¢ amid a major volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor bought Under at 83¢ before it jumped to 96¢.
  • The wallet has traded 300 markets across 270 events and wins 70% of resolved bets.
  • Under moved 11 points in 3 minutes as volume spiked 46x above normal.

$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%

New 6-for-6 sports bettor

A 1-day-old repeat bettor with a 6-for-6 resolved record bought Under before an 11-point move and a 53x pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and has already put $5,077 into flagged positions.
  • They bought Under at 73¢ before it moved to 84¢, showing the trade was quickly confirmed by the market.
  • Volume spiked 53x above normal, suggesting broader pre-game momentum behind the same direction.

$1,167 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Cross-market event positioner

High composite alert from coordinated Tunisia-side buying plus broad cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term P&L record.

  • Four wallets are betting the same way on Tunisia, totaling about $12.5K.
  • This wallet is positioned across 6 markets in the same event with $75K total exposure.
  • The Under entry at 80¢ has already moved to 84¢, suggesting the market followed this trade.

$5,373 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

High-volume trader rode Under move

Under is being backed by a very active cross-market sports trader amid a major pre-event volume spike and rapid price move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.

  • This very active trader has bet across 554 markets and bought Under at 68¢ before it jumped to 84¢.
  • Market volume spiked 52.9x versus normal, with Under moving up 11 percentage points in 3 minutes.
  • The trader wins 68% of resolved bets, but has negative lifetime profit, so this is more a momentum signal than a proven-sharp wallet.

$1,691 on Under | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable wallets on Over

High-scoring one-sided Over cluster backed by profitable, experienced cross-market bettors despite the market trading below their entry.

  • Three wallets are all taking Over, totaling $10.3k in the same direction.
  • Two lead bettors are up about $1.38M combined lifetime, including one with a 64% record across 932 resolved bets.
  • Volume is 35x normal, suggesting this quiet total drew unusual pre-event money.

$10,254 on Over

92% winner buying Under

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Under despite a high-volume market, supported by a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $70K lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports market trader with $370K across 110 events.
  • Market volume is surging 35x before kickoff, suggesting heavy positioning.

$1,874 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%

Cross-market event positioner

High composite alert from coordinated Tunisia-side buying plus broad cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term P&L record.

  • Four wallets are betting the same way on Tunisia, totaling about $12.5K.
  • This wallet is positioned across 6 markets in the same event with $75K total exposure.
  • The Under entry at 80¢ has already moved to 84¢, suggesting the market followed this trade.

$3,679 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Known 6-wallet funded cluster

A known 6-wallet funded cluster is backing Under, and the active wallet has a long profitable history despite the bet being relatively small.

  • Six linked wallets share the same funder, a pattern that often signals coordinated conviction.
  • The active wallet is up $29,086 across 1,166 resolved bets.
  • They bought Under at 88¢, matching the market’s strong favorite but with proven profitable history.

$1,760 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2117...5c26 Outcome 74779646, $70,797 (44% win rate)
  2. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 74779646, $13,258 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x5b6e...f544 Outcome 74779646, $8,000 (87% win rate)
  4. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 74779646, $7,777 (87% win rate)
  5. 0x58b3...653c Outcome 74779646, $6,500 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x0249...5b4b Outcome 74779646, $6,316 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 74779646, $4,444 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x9d8a...5201 Outcome 74779646, $3,300 (29% win rate)
  9. 0x4099...b04a Outcome 74779646, $3,255
  10. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 74779646, $2,680 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Tunisia keeps Japan close

Covers 4 related markets

Iran New Zealand odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win by eleven

Covers 4 related markets

Dplus KIA sweeps BRION

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Exactly three total goals

Covers 3 related markets

Spain Cabo Verde stays low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

France Senegal ends scoreless

Covers 3 related markets

Iraq covers in low scorer

Covers 3 related markets

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

ResolvedTunisia vs. Japan - More Markets$30,138 tracked9 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Tunisia and Japan, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Tunisia and Japan combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Japan
JPN
4
World Cup
Full Time
Tunisia
TUN
0
Venue
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Attendance
51,243

Notable Trades

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$2,341 on Under at 90¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$2,000 on Under at 83¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$1,167 on Under at 73¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$5,373 on Under at 80¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$1,691 on Under at 68¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$10,254 on Over at 32¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

6h ago

$1,874 on Under at 88¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

7h ago

$3,679 on Under at 80¢

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

8h ago

$1,760 on Under at 88¢

Related Theses

Tunisia keeps Japan close
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Will New Zealand win on 2026-0…Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15…Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand e…
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Thunder win by eleven
Wallet_0xd4081 trades 4 related markets
Thunder vs. LakersSpread: Thunder (-10.5)Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
Dplus KIA sweeps BRION
Wallet_0xd4081 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION…LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION…LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION…
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U …Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st …Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U …
Exactly three total goals
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Spain Cabo Verde stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half…Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
France Senegal ends scoreless
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O…France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5
Iraq covers in low scorer
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Spread: Norway (-1.5)Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5