Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,138.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
74% serial event trader
High-scoring composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market sports trader buying Under, with major same-event positioning and favorable move from 90¢ to 96¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 210 resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- They have traded 4 related markets in this event for $126K, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Their Under entry at 90¢ has already moved to 96¢ after a sharp volume spike.
$2,341 on Under | Wallet win rate: 74%
Serial bettor caught Under move
High-scoring sports alert driven by a serial cross-market bettor buying Under before a fast move from 83¢ to 96¢ amid a major volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor bought Under at 83¢ before it jumped to 96¢.
- The wallet has traded 300 markets across 270 events and wins 70% of resolved bets.
- Under moved 11 points in 3 minutes as volume spiked 46x above normal.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%
New 6-for-6 sports bettor
A 1-day-old repeat bettor with a 6-for-6 resolved record bought Under before an 11-point move and a 53x pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and has already put $5,077 into flagged positions.
- They bought Under at 73¢ before it moved to 84¢, showing the trade was quickly confirmed by the market.
- Volume spiked 53x above normal, suggesting broader pre-game momentum behind the same direction.
$1,167 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Cross-market event positioner
High composite alert from coordinated Tunisia-side buying plus broad cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term P&L record.
- Four wallets are betting the same way on Tunisia, totaling about $12.5K.
- This wallet is positioned across 6 markets in the same event with $75K total exposure.
- The Under entry at 80¢ has already moved to 84¢, suggesting the market followed this trade.
$5,373 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
High-volume trader rode Under move
Under is being backed by a very active cross-market sports trader amid a major pre-event volume spike and rapid price move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.
- This very active trader has bet across 554 markets and bought Under at 68¢ before it jumped to 84¢.
- Market volume spiked 52.9x versus normal, with Under moving up 11 percentage points in 3 minutes.
- The trader wins 68% of resolved bets, but has negative lifetime profit, so this is more a momentum signal than a proven-sharp wallet.
$1,691 on Under | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable wallets on Over
High-scoring one-sided Over cluster backed by profitable, experienced cross-market bettors despite the market trading below their entry.
- Three wallets are all taking Over, totaling $10.3k in the same direction.
- Two lead bettors are up about $1.38M combined lifetime, including one with a 64% record across 932 resolved bets.
- Volume is 35x normal, suggesting this quiet total drew unusual pre-event money.
$10,254 on Over
92% winner buying Under
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Under despite a high-volume market, supported by a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $70K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports market trader with $370K across 110 events.
- Market volume is surging 35x before kickoff, suggesting heavy positioning.
$1,874 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%
Cross-market event positioner
High composite alert from coordinated Tunisia-side buying plus broad cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term P&L record.
- Four wallets are betting the same way on Tunisia, totaling about $12.5K.
- This wallet is positioned across 6 markets in the same event with $75K total exposure.
- The Under entry at 80¢ has already moved to 84¢, suggesting the market followed this trade.
$3,679 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Known 6-wallet funded cluster
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is backing Under, and the active wallet has a long profitable history despite the bet being relatively small.
- Six linked wallets share the same funder, a pattern that often signals coordinated conviction.
- The active wallet is up $29,086 across 1,166 resolved bets.
- They bought Under at 88¢, matching the market’s strong favorite but with proven profitable history.
$1,760 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 74779646, $70,797 (44% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 74779646, $13,258 (64% win rate)
- 0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 74779646, $8,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 74779646, $7,777 (87% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 74779646, $6,500 (50% win rate)
- 0x0249...5b4b — Outcome 74779646, $6,316 (89% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 74779646, $4,444 (52% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 74779646, $3,300 (29% win rate)
- 0x4099...b04a — Outcome 74779646, $3,255
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 74779646, $2,680 (64% win rate)
Related Theses
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Covers 4 related markets
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Thunder win by eleven
Covers 4 related markets
Dplus KIA sweeps BRION
Covers 3 related markets
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Exactly three total goals
Covers 3 related markets
Spain Cabo Verde stays low-scoring
Covers 3 related markets
France Senegal ends scoreless
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq covers in low scorer
Covers 3 related markets


