Part of: Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $90,302.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying Under
High-score one-sided Under cluster includes a proven 88% winner and serial cross-market bettors, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $94.8k bought Under at 42¢.
- Six wallets put $36.3k on the same Under position, with multiple serial cross-market bettors involved.
- Under now trades near 24¢ versus their 42–49¢ entries, so the position is available much cheaper but has moved against them.
$36,306 on Under
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Over at 54¢ ahead of a major price move, alongside a sharp volume spike across related match markets.
- This bettor is up $817k lifetime across 3,908 resolved bets.
- They have traded 423 events and are positioning across 5 related markets in this match.
- Bought Over at 54¢ before the market jumped to 76¢, with volume running 22.5x normal.
$1,542 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp cluster buying Under
High-conviction Under cluster with $56k from five wallets, including profitable serial sports traders, amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price movement.
- Five wallets put $56k on Under, taking the opposite side of a market that has moved heavily toward Over.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $321k lifetime.
- This market saw a 52x volume spike, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.
$33,703 on Under
94% winner buying Over
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 94% historical win rate bought Over 3.5 ahead of kickoff amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $403K lifetime.
- They have traded 77 sports events with the same strong track record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Market volume is running 33x above normal, and the Over has already moved up 14 points this week.
$1,960 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven sports sharp
Surface: proven profitable sports bettor with 78% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Under 3.5 for $7,950.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $18.2K lifetime.
- They have traded 46 markets across 40 events, with $1.3M in total activity.
- A $7,950 buy on Under at 53¢ shows meaningful conviction in a liquid market.
$6,240 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%
94% winner buying Under
Surface: this is a proven high-edge bettor with a 94% historical win rate and nearly $900k profit buying Under at 52¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up about $890k lifetime.
- They have traded across 456 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see Under as meaningfully mispriced despite a liquid market.
$2,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven sports sharp
Surface: proven profitable sports bettor with 78% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Under 3.5 for $7,950.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $18.2K lifetime.
- They have traded 46 markets across 40 events, with $1.3M in total activity.
- A $7,950 buy on Under at 53¢ shows meaningful conviction in a liquid market.
$7,950 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 41267521, $57,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 41267521, $42,023 (73% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 41267521, $26,344 (86% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 41267521, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xa9f5...a96f — Outcome 41267521, $10,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 41267521, $6,590
- 0x8228...b2fb — Outcome 41267521, $5,769 (90% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 41267521, $5,283 (88% win rate)
- 0x0c84...a8ed — Outcome 41267521, $5,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x7e03...fd0d — Outcome 41267521, $5,000
Related Theses
Belgium won't beat Egypt
Covers 3 related markets
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Covers 6 related markets


