Part of: Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $179,353.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
New whale in one-sided flow
High-scoring alert driven by a very new wallet making an $8k effective Over bet alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- A 2-day-old wallet made an $8k effective bet on Over, part of $21k in same-direction buying from 4 wallets.
- Volume is running 42x above normal before the match, suggesting this total is drawing unusual attention.
- The wallet has already had $15.5k flagged across repeat large bets, though it has no resolved track record yet.
$8,021 on Over | Wallet win rate: 40%
4-wallet Over momentum
Coordinated Over-side flow, a 42x pre-event volume spike, and a brand-new wallet deploying meaningful capital make this worth surfacing despite no proven wallet track record.
- Four wallets put $21k on Over in the same window, creating clear one-sided flow.
- Pre-game volume is running 42x above baseline, and Over has moved up 15 points this week.
- This wallet is only 12 hours old but already has about $9.6k deployed across positions.
$1,488 on Over | Wallet win rate: 38%
Profitable wallets chase Over
Worth surfacing despite some Under sales being position exits because profitable high-volume wallets are buying Over alongside a major volume spike and strong price momentum.
- Two profitable high-volume bettors bought Over, including one wallet up $893k lifetime.
- Market volume is 56x above normal, and Over has jumped 38 points in the past day.
- Several wallets are exiting Under positions, adding to the same directional pressure toward Over.
$23,104 on Over
Profitable serial event trader
High-scoring alert with a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining one-sided Under flow during a major volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $330k lifetime across 182 resolved trades.
- Five wallets bought Under in the same window for $15.4k total.
- Volume spiked 56x versus normal, and this bettor has traded 170 markets across 60 events.
$1,073 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%
69% serial bettor cluster
Surface: a profitable 69% winner with a long serial cross-market history is part of a 3-wallet Under cluster that has already moved from mid-60s to 70¢.
- A profitable bettor in this cluster wins 69% of resolved bets and is up about $130k lifetime.
- Three wallets all backed Under for $4.5k, with related betting across 5 markets in this same game.
- They entered around 66¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢, suggesting the Under thesis is gaining traction.
$4,515 on Under
7-wallet Under surge
A $98k seven-wallet cluster piled into Under with major price impact and several profitable high-volume bettors, but the market has already moved to 100%.
- Seven wallets put nearly $98k on the same side, pushing Under from roughly mid-market prices to 100¢.
- The flow came with a 78x volume spike and a 46-point move, a strong one-sided signal before the market effectively resolved.
- Several wallets have long profitable histories, including one up $815k across nearly 4,000 resolved bets.
$97,760 on Under
8-wallet funded Over cluster
Surface due to an 8-wallet linked cluster and 7-wallet one-sided Over buying amid a 229x volume spike, though the individual wallet's long-term record is unprofitable.
- 8 linked wallets share the same funder and are betting the same way.
- 7 wallets bought Over for $18.8k total, creating a strong one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 229x, suggesting a sudden rush of positioning before the match.
$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 60%
8-wallet linked Over push
High-conviction linked-wallet cluster bought Over heavily into a huge pre-event volume spike and major price move, though wallets have mixed track records and there is some opposing flow.
- 8 linked wallets bought the same Over side for about $23.3k, a strong coordinated move.
- Volume spiked 334x and Over has moved from roughly 28–29¢ to 52¢ in the past day.
- The cluster paid around 62¢ on average, while the market is now available near 52¢.
$23,309 on Over
16-wallet Netherlands push
Surface due to coordinated $100k buying from 16 wallets on Netherlands plus large pre-event volume spikes, despite the featured wallet’s weak lifetime P&L.
- 16 wallets are all buying Netherlands, totaling about $100k in the same direction.
- Pregame volume is surging, with this event showing multiple 45x+ spikes versus normal activity.
- The featured wallet is not proven sharp, so the coordinated flow is the main reason to watch this.
$17,083 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 32873382, $26,851 (64% win rate)
- 0x0189...5861 — Outcome 32873382, $5,100 (70% win rate)
- 0xddc3...029c — Outcome 32873382, $4,250 (92% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 32873382, $4,085 (76% win rate)
- 0xc41e...e2e9 — Outcome 32873382, $3,000
- 0x15e9...26be — Outcome 32873382, $2,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x1eba...ff9c — Outcome 32873382, $1,570 (82% win rate)
- 0x3e9b...a0ec — Outcome 32873382, $1,449 (59% win rate)
- 0x69a5...14af — Outcome 32873382, $1,195
- 0xd753...6053 — Outcome 32873382, $1,034 (100% win rate)
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