Part of: Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $179,353.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

New whale in one-sided flow

High-scoring alert driven by a very new wallet making an $8k effective Over bet alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A 2-day-old wallet made an $8k effective bet on Over, part of $21k in same-direction buying from 4 wallets.
  • Volume is running 42x above normal before the match, suggesting this total is drawing unusual attention.
  • The wallet has already had $15.5k flagged across repeat large bets, though it has no resolved track record yet.

$8,021 on Over | Wallet win rate: 40%

4-wallet Over momentum

Coordinated Over-side flow, a 42x pre-event volume spike, and a brand-new wallet deploying meaningful capital make this worth surfacing despite no proven wallet track record.

  • Four wallets put $21k on Over in the same window, creating clear one-sided flow.
  • Pre-game volume is running 42x above baseline, and Over has moved up 15 points this week.
  • This wallet is only 12 hours old but already has about $9.6k deployed across positions.

$1,488 on Over | Wallet win rate: 38%

Profitable wallets chase Over

Worth surfacing despite some Under sales being position exits because profitable high-volume wallets are buying Over alongside a major volume spike and strong price momentum.

  • Two profitable high-volume bettors bought Over, including one wallet up $893k lifetime.
  • Market volume is 56x above normal, and Over has jumped 38 points in the past day.
  • Several wallets are exiting Under positions, adding to the same directional pressure toward Over.

$23,104 on Over

Profitable serial event trader

High-scoring alert with a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining one-sided Under flow during a major volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.

  • This bettor is up $330k lifetime across 182 resolved trades.
  • Five wallets bought Under in the same window for $15.4k total.
  • Volume spiked 56x versus normal, and this bettor has traded 170 markets across 60 events.

$1,073 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%

69% serial bettor cluster

Surface: a profitable 69% winner with a long serial cross-market history is part of a 3-wallet Under cluster that has already moved from mid-60s to 70¢.

  • A profitable bettor in this cluster wins 69% of resolved bets and is up about $130k lifetime.
  • Three wallets all backed Under for $4.5k, with related betting across 5 markets in this same game.
  • They entered around 66¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢, suggesting the Under thesis is gaining traction.

$4,515 on Under

7-wallet Under surge

A $98k seven-wallet cluster piled into Under with major price impact and several profitable high-volume bettors, but the market has already moved to 100%.

  • Seven wallets put nearly $98k on the same side, pushing Under from roughly mid-market prices to 100¢.
  • The flow came with a 78x volume spike and a 46-point move, a strong one-sided signal before the market effectively resolved.
  • Several wallets have long profitable histories, including one up $815k across nearly 4,000 resolved bets.

$97,760 on Under

8-wallet funded Over cluster

Surface due to an 8-wallet linked cluster and 7-wallet one-sided Over buying amid a 229x volume spike, though the individual wallet's long-term record is unprofitable.

  • 8 linked wallets share the same funder and are betting the same way.
  • 7 wallets bought Over for $18.8k total, creating a strong one-sided flow.
  • Market volume spiked 229x, suggesting a sudden rush of positioning before the match.

$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 60%

8-wallet linked Over push

High-conviction linked-wallet cluster bought Over heavily into a huge pre-event volume spike and major price move, though wallets have mixed track records and there is some opposing flow.

  • 8 linked wallets bought the same Over side for about $23.3k, a strong coordinated move.
  • Volume spiked 334x and Over has moved from roughly 28–29¢ to 52¢ in the past day.
  • The cluster paid around 62¢ on average, while the market is now available near 52¢.

$23,309 on Over

16-wallet Netherlands push

Surface due to coordinated $100k buying from 16 wallets on Netherlands plus large pre-event volume spikes, despite the featured wallet’s weak lifetime P&L.

  • 16 wallets are all buying Netherlands, totaling about $100k in the same direction.
  • Pregame volume is surging, with this event showing multiple 45x+ spikes versus normal activity.
  • The featured wallet is not proven sharp, so the coordinated flow is the main reason to watch this.

$17,083 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 32873382, $26,851 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x0189...5861 Outcome 32873382, $5,100 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xddc3...029c Outcome 32873382, $4,250 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 32873382, $4,085 (76% win rate)
  5. 0xc41e...e2e9 Outcome 32873382, $3,000
  6. 0x15e9...26be Outcome 32873382, $2,000 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x1eba...ff9c Outcome 32873382, $1,570 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x3e9b...a0ec Outcome 32873382, $1,449 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x69a5...14af Outcome 32873382, $1,195
  10. 0xd753...6053 Outcome 32873382, $1,034 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Algeria-Austria match gets canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina wins by two

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye wins 2-0

Covers 5 related markets

France beats Senegal

Covers 3 related markets

DR Congo won't lose

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins three nil

Covers 9 related markets

Panama Croatia tied at halftime

Covers 3 related markets

Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Colombia keeps Portugal close

Covers 5 related markets

Canada-South Africa won't draw

Covers 3 related markets

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

ResolvedTunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets$179,353 tracked9 signalsGamesSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Tunisia and Netherlands, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Tunisia and Netherlands combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$8,021 on Over at 47¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$1,488 on Over at 73¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$23,104 on Over at 62¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$1,073 on Under at 58¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$4,515 on Under at 67¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$97,760 on Under at 69¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$3,000 on Over at 63¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$23,309 on Over at 62¢

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$17,083 on Netherlands at 47¢

Related Theses

Algeria-Austria match gets canceled
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27…Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27…Will Algeria vs. Austria end i…
Argentina wins by two
Wallet_0x0346a trades 7 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Türkiye wins 2-0
Wallet_0x0346a trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
France beats Senegal
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16…Will France win on 2026-06-16?Will France vs. Senegal end in…
DR Congo won't lose
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan e…Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06…Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-2…
Brazil wins three nil
Wallet_0x0346a trades 9 related markets
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Panama Croatia tied at halftime
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Croatia leading at halftime?Panama leading at halftime?Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at ha…
Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match
Wallet_0x0346a trades 5 related markets
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3…DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2…DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4…
Colombia keeps Portugal close
Wallet_0x0346a trades 5 related markets
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5
Canada-South Africa won't draw
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Will South Africa win on 2026-…Will South Africa vs. Canada e…