Part of: UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,013.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

3-wallet breakout cluster

Three wallets piled into Charles Radtke as the market broke sharply upward, including two large buys at 58-59¢ before the price jumped to 89%, making this a strong momentum-following cluster despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes as Radtke jumped 27 points in a day.
  • Two of the buys got in at 58-59¢, far below the current 89¢ price, showing strong early conviction.
  • The market saw a 212x volume spike, suggesting fast new information hit this fight market.

$8,568 on Charles Radtke

Sharp bettor in 3-wallet surge

A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate joined a 3-wallet $23.8k wave into Francisco Prado during an extreme pre-fight volume spike, making this a strong flow signal despite the market moving sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $133k across 214 resolved bets
  • Three wallets put $23.8k on Francisco Prado as market activity jumped 219x versus normal
  • The entry was 51¢, but the market is now 16¢, showing this thesis has been heavily rejected since the buy

$1,011 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 80%

82% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and $726k profit is buying Francisco Prado at 38¢, making this underdog entry worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 361 resolved markets and is up $726k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events — 260 markets over 206 events — which suggests a repeatable edge
  • Buying Prado at 38¢ means they see the underdog as meaningfully undervalued

$1,943 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 88%

77% win-rate sharp

A highly active trader with a strong 77% win rate and nearly $474k profit is buying Francisco Prado at 41¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved markets and is up $473,776 lifetime
  • They have traded 212 markets across 184 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Francisco Prado at 41¢ while the market sits around 40%, implying they see Prado as undervalued at roughly 2.4x payout

$2,637 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 76%

82% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports trader with an 82% win rate and broad cross-market activity is buying Charles Radtke at 63¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k on $105.6k invested
  • They have bet across 112 events and 130 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Charles Radtke at 63¢, close to the current ask, showing fresh conviction instead of profit-taking

$1,483 on Charles Radtke | Wallet win rate: 81%

82% win-rate bettor

A proven profitable sports-style trader with an 82% win rate and broad cross-market activity is making a fresh $3k buy on Charles Radtke at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $25.2k overall
  • They have bet across 111 events and 129 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Charles Radtke at 63¢, pricing him like a solid favorite but still leaving room if the bettor is right

$2,967 on Charles Radtke | Wallet win rate: 81%

82% win-rate bettor

A high-performing wallet with an 82% win rate and nearly $500k profit is taking an underdog position on Francisco Prado at 38¢, which is notable even though the automated alert score is low.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $491k lifetime
  • They bought the underdog at 38¢, implying they see Prado as clearly undervalued
  • The bet is modest at $1.1k, but it came from a proven sharp wallet rather than routine market flow

$1,144 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 88%

82% win-rate UFC sharp

A highly profitable 82% win-rate sports trader with over 250 resolved bets is taking a meaningful underdog position in a relatively thin UFC market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $491k lifetime
  • They've traded 170 markets across 139 events, showing a strong repeat edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Francisco Prado at 37¢ in a market with only about $5k of 24-hour volume, signaling real conviction on the underdog

$1,260 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 26934057, $25,167 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x832d...d420 Outcome 26934057, $9,627 (76% win rate)
  3. 0xafba...e61b Outcome 26934057, $7,914 (69% win rate)
  4. 0x1433...56a0 Outcome 26934057, $7,176 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x6f8b...01aa Outcome 26934057, $7,137 (40% win rate)
  6. 0xd1e6...1dc1 Outcome 26934057, $5,800 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 26934057, $3,106
  8. 0xebff...70e5 Outcome 26934057, $1,590
  9. 0x2ce8...4527 Outcome 26934057, $1,060 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xe802...e465 Outcome 26934057, $981 (97% win rate)

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UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

42d ago

$8,568 on Charles Radtke at 59¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

42d ago

$1,011 on Francisco Prado at 51¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

42d ago

$1,943 on Francisco Prado at 38¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

42d ago

$2,637 on Francisco Prado at 41¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

42d ago

$1,483 on Charles Radtke at 63¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

42d ago

$2,967 on Charles Radtke at 63¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

44d ago

$1,144 on Francisco Prado at 38¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

45d ago

$1,260 on Francisco Prado at 37¢

Related Theses