Part of: UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $277,842.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
9-wallet Costa pile-in
A 9-wallet cluster pushed over $61k into Paulo Costa right before resolution, including several highly profitable sports-style wallets and one new wallet with early gains, making this coordinated move worth studying despite the market already moving to 100%.
- Nine wallets piled more than $61k into Paulo Costa, with 2 wallets linked by funding and a strong one-way flow signal.
- Several bettors in the cluster have strong records, including wallets with 82% and 79% win rates and one up $882k lifetime.
- The group bought from 30¢ to 71¢ as Costa surged nearly 30 points and the market went to 100%, confirming the move was early and decisive.
$61,289 on Paulo Costa
82% win-rate fight bettor
A proven UFC-style sharp with an 82% win rate made a nearly $5k buy into a fight market during a major pre-event volume surge and a fast 31-point move, making this a notable conviction trade despite the market now being resolved to the opposite side.
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up $25k on about $106k invested.
- They trade across 130 markets and 112 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- This buy hit during a 44x volume surge and a 31-point price move in just 4 minutes, showing strong conviction into fast market action.
$4,976 on Azamat Murzakanov | Wallet win rate: 80%
78% win-rate UFC bettor
A high-volume UFC bet from a serial cross-market bettor with a strong 78% hit rate is notable even in a liquid market, especially alongside an extreme pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of 343 resolved markets and has traded across 141 events.
- They put $15.1k on Azamat at 70¢ as this market saw an 86.9x volume spike before the fight.
- The price is liquid and tight, so this looks more like a sharp bettor following a thesis than a random thin-market punt.
$15,063 on Azamat Murzakanov | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp 71% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate and $5.8M in profit just put $15.5k on Azamat Murzakanov, making this worth tracking despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor has won 805 of 1,132 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime.
- They've traded 498 markets across 419 events, so this looks like a seasoned event bettor rather than a random whale.
- They bought Azamat at 69¢, a sizeable $15.5k position in a liquid UFC market.
$15,456 on Azamat Murzakanov | Wallet win rate: 71%
5-wallet Costa cluster
A 5-wallet cluster put $48k on Paulo Costa during a sharp pre-fight volume spike, including one proven 82% win-rate trader and linked funding across part of the group, helping drive Costa from 30¢ to 57¢.
- Five wallets piled into Paulo Costa for $48k in minutes, and two of them share a funder.
- One bettor in the group wins 82% of resolved trades across 401 bets and has made about $883k profit.
- The buying helped push Costa from 30¢ to 57%, signaling strong conviction ahead of the fight.
$48,166 on Paulo Costa
85% win-rate UFC bettor
A highly profitable wallet with an 85% win rate bought Azamat during an extreme pre-fight volume spike, making this a credible sharp-money sports bet worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $1.48M lifetime
- They bought Azamat at 70¢ during a 95x pre-event volume surge, suggesting sharp money is positioning before the fight
- The bet is meaningful at $6.6k, though it came in a liquid market rather than a thin one
$6,590 on Azamat Murzakanov | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% win-rate fight bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% win rate bought Paulo Costa at 31¢ during a major pre-fight volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market’s high liquidity.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $391k across 168 settled positions.
- They trade heavily across sports events with the same strong results: 152 markets and $421k deployed.
- Bought Paulo Costa at 31¢ during a 42x pre-fight volume spike, implying they see the underdog as mispriced.
$3,643 on Paulo Costa | Wallet win rate: 92%
4-wallet sharp UFC pile-in
Four wallets piled nearly $100k into Azamat Murzakanov right before the fight, including two large serial cross-market bettors with strong long-term win rates and one wallet up $5.8M lifetime.
- Four wallets bought nearly $100k of Azamat in minutes, showing strong one-sided conviction before the fight.
- Two of the bettors have rare scale and solid records, including one up $5.8M lifetime with a 71% win rate and another winning 78% of 343 resolved bets.
- They entered around 69-70¢, which means they still saw value even with Azamat already favored.
$97,228 on Azamat Murzakanov
Profitable UFC sharp on underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate and $5.7M profit just took a meaningful underdog position on Paulo Costa at 30¢.
- This bettor has won 802 of 1,129 resolved trades and is up $5.7M lifetime.
- They regularly trade across related events at scale, with $8.1M bet across 491 markets.
- Buying Paulo Costa at 30¢ is a clear underdog stance, implying they see better than a 30% chance.
$6,846 on Paulo Costa | Wallet win rate: 71%
36-0 sharp on UFC underdog
A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 36-for-36 resolved record bought Paulo Costa at 30¢, a meaningful underdog price in a major UFC market.
- This bettor has won 36 of 36 resolved trades and is up about $59k on $129k invested
- They bought Paulo Costa at 30¢, implying they think the underdog is priced too low
- The bet landed in a liquid UFC market, so this looks more like a deliberate value play than random thin-market noise
$1,750 on Paulo Costa | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x7690...74e1 — Outcome 70329987, $67,707 (80% win rate)
- 0x8c80...02c3 — Outcome 70329987, $46,447 (81% win rate)
- 0x832d...d420 — Outcome 70329987, $37,600 (76% win rate)
- 0x31c5...ede4 — Outcome 70329987, $34,638 (85% win rate)
- 0x12af...ff78 — Outcome 70329987, $10,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xc14f...7d8d — Outcome 70329987, $7,430 (51% win rate)
- 0x8982...59fb — Outcome 70329987, $5,903 (80% win rate)
- 0xa125...de52 — Outcome 70329987, $4,560
- 0xf17a...8abe — Outcome 70329987, $4,397 (59% win rate)
- 0x2256...0386 — Outcome 70329987, $4,208 (92% win rate)
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