Part of: UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

This UFC 328 prediction market covers the flyweight early prelim fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jose Ochoa, resolving to the fighter officially declared the winner. PolySpotter is tracking $10,370 in smart money activity, including a recent signal noting an 84% winner backing Ochoa. The market is scheduled to resolve after the May 9, 2026 bout, with a 50-50 resolution if the fight is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,559.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster swept Ochoa

Massive one-sided Ochoa buy cluster from 6 wallets, including two strong profitable bettors, drove the market from the low 60s to 100%.

  • Six wallets bought $112K of Jose Ochoa, pushing the price from about 62¢ to 100¢.
  • Two wallets in the flow have strong records: one wins 97% of bets and is up $324K, another wins 85% and is up $62K.
  • Volume spiked 68x above normal before the fight, matching the one-sided move into Ochoa.

$112,189 on Jose Ochoa

84% winner backs Ochoa

A profitable sports bettor with an 84% resolved-bet record placed a $10.4k BUY on Jose Ochoa despite no other supporting flow signals.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
  • They put $10.4k on Jose Ochoa at 61¢ in a liquid UFC market.
  • Their past bets beat market-implied odds by about 21 percentage points.

$10,370 on Jose Ochoa | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 94183811, $122,258 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xe7e1...ec43 — Outcome 94183811, $30,000 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 94183811, $15,750 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x6f8b...01aa — Outcome 94183811, $13,981 (38% win rate)
  5. 0x1d7f...a878 — Outcome 53092694, $10,000 (30% win rate)
  6. 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 94183811, $8,386 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 94183811, $8,268 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x6db5...e279 — Outcome 53092694, $8,137 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xcf4c...21ba — Outcome 94183811, $8,000
  10. 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 94183811, $7,500 (52% win rate)

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

1hUFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)$122,559 tracked2 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Clayton Carpenter" if Clayton Carpenter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Jose Ochoa”
102¢
78¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

3h ago

$112,189 on Jose Ochoa at 62¢

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

5h ago

$10,370 on Jose Ochoa at 61¢