UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Eduardo Chapolin" if Eduardo Chapolin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,092.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Coordinated Chapolin buying surge

Three wallets committed $5,661 to Eduardo Chapolin amid a 231x volume surge, and their entries preceded an 18-point move in Eduardo's favor, though two wallets were already positioned.

Three wallets bought $5,661 of Eduardo Chapolin, with entries from 48¢ to 65¢ before the market reached 68%.
Trading volume surged to 231 times its historical average, while Eduardo gained roughly 18 percentage points.
One participating bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $358,510, although much of the flow adds to existing positions.

$10,306 on Eduardo Chapolin

97% winner leads coordinated Johnson bet

A highly profitable serial trader bought Charles Johnson at 53% alongside three other wallets during a 231x volume spike, making this a strong coordinated sharp-bettor signal despite the subsequent price decline.

This bettor has won 97% of 290 resolved trades and earned nearly $990,000 in profit.
Four wallets bought Charles Johnson together, committing $62,468 during a 231x historical volume spike.
The trade entered at 53% while the market now prices Johnson at 32%, creating substantial upside if the original thesis is right.

$3,222 on Charles Johnson | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor scaling into Charles Johnson

A highly profitable serial trader with a 76% win rate added $38.6K to Charles Johnson alongside three other buyers despite the market falling to 32%.

This bettor has won 76% of 854 resolved trades and earned more than $1M.
They added $38,613 to Charles Johnson at 53% while three other wallets bought the same outcome, totaling $62,468.
The position is an unusually strong conviction bet, though the market has since fallen to roughly 32%, increasing both potential value and risk.

$38,613 on Charles Johnson | Wallet win rate: 85%

Five-wallet cluster backing Charles Johnson

Five wallets placed $72,868 on Charles Johnson amid a 363x volume spike, including several highly profitable bettors, despite the outcome drifting from 53% to 48%.

Five wallets committed $72,868 to Charles Johnson while market liquidity is only $6,706, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
The cluster includes bettors with 97% and 76% win rates, plus a highly profitable trader with $38.3M in lifetime gains.
Trading volume was 363x its historical average, though Charles Johnson has since fallen from roughly 53¢ to 48¢.

$72,868 on Charles Johnson

Proven serial bettor backs Eduardo

A highly active bettor with 101 wins from 126 resolved bets and substantial lifetime profit is taking a fresh 51¢ position on Eduardo Chapolin.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades—101 of 126—and is up $197,711 lifetime.
They have traded 67 events and 95 markets, indicating a highly experienced and consistently active approach.
The fresh $1,960 position backs Eduardo Chapolin at 51¢, near even odds in a liquid market.

$1,960 on Eduardo Chapolin | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor scaling into Charles Johnson

A historically sharp bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding another $10.9K to Charles Johnson at near-even odds.

This bettor has won 80% of 40 resolved positions and is up $41,869.
They added $10,916 to Charles Johnson while already holding a $23,620 position on the same outcome.
The bet was placed around 51¢, suggesting the bettor sees meaningful value at nearly even odds.

$10,916 on Charles Johnson | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite serial bettor backs Eduardo

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.1M profit is making a substantial fresh bet on Eduardo Chapolin in a thin market.

This bettor has won 89% of 1,864 resolved positions and is up $3.1M.
The $1,207 bet backs Eduardo Chapolin at 46¢ in a market with only $3,387 of 24-hour volume.
The wallet has traded across 914 events, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.

$1,208 on Eduardo Chapolin | Wallet win rate: 91%