UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,092.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Coordinated Chapolin buying surge
Three wallets committed $5,661 to Eduardo Chapolin amid a 231x volume surge, and their entries preceded an 18-point move in Eduardo's favor, though two wallets were already positioned.
- Three wallets bought $5,661 of Eduardo Chapolin, with entries from 48¢ to 65¢ before the market reached 68%.
- Trading volume surged to 231 times its historical average, while Eduardo gained roughly 18 percentage points.
- One participating bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $358,510, although much of the flow adds to existing positions.
$10,306 on Eduardo Chapolin
97% winner leads coordinated Johnson bet
A highly profitable serial trader bought Charles Johnson at 53% alongside three other wallets during a 231x volume spike, making this a strong coordinated sharp-bettor signal despite the subsequent price decline.
- This bettor has won 97% of 290 resolved trades and earned nearly $990,000 in profit.
- Four wallets bought Charles Johnson together, committing $62,468 during a 231x historical volume spike.
- The trade entered at 53% while the market now prices Johnson at 32%, creating substantial upside if the original thesis is right.
$3,222 on Charles Johnson | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettor scaling into Charles Johnson
A highly profitable serial trader with a 76% win rate added $38.6K to Charles Johnson alongside three other buyers despite the market falling to 32%.
- This bettor has won 76% of 854 resolved trades and earned more than $1M.
- They added $38,613 to Charles Johnson at 53% while three other wallets bought the same outcome, totaling $62,468.
- The position is an unusually strong conviction bet, though the market has since fallen to roughly 32%, increasing both potential value and risk.
$38,613 on Charles Johnson | Wallet win rate: 78%
Five-wallet cluster backing Charles Johnson
Five wallets placed $72,868 on Charles Johnson amid a 363x volume spike, including several highly profitable bettors, despite the outcome drifting from 53% to 48%.
- Five wallets committed $72,868 to Charles Johnson while market liquidity is only $6,706, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
- The cluster includes bettors with 97% and 76% win rates, plus a highly profitable trader with $38.3M in lifetime gains.
- Trading volume was 363x its historical average, though Charles Johnson has since fallen from roughly 53¢ to 48¢.
$72,868 on Charles Johnson
Proven serial bettor backs Eduardo
A highly active bettor with 101 wins from 126 resolved bets and substantial lifetime profit is taking a fresh 51¢ position on Eduardo Chapolin.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades—101 of 126—and is up $197,711 lifetime.
- They have traded 67 events and 95 markets, indicating a highly experienced and consistently active approach.
- The fresh $1,960 position backs Eduardo Chapolin at 51¢, near even odds in a liquid market.
$1,960 on Eduardo Chapolin | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor scaling into Charles Johnson
A historically sharp bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding another $10.9K to Charles Johnson at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 80% of 40 resolved positions and is up $41,869.
- They added $10,916 to Charles Johnson while already holding a $23,620 position on the same outcome.
- The bet was placed around 51¢, suggesting the bettor sees meaningful value at nearly even odds.
$10,916 on Charles Johnson | Wallet win rate: 80%
Elite serial bettor backs Eduardo
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.1M profit is making a substantial fresh bet on Eduardo Chapolin in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 89% of 1,864 resolved positions and is up $3.1M.
- The $1,207 bet backs Eduardo Chapolin at 46¢ in a market with only $3,387 of 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 914 events, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.
$1,208 on Eduardo Chapolin | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xa710...23c4 — Outcome 55921367, $47,979 (52% win rate)
- 0x9220...0fcb — Outcome 55921367, $22,044 (68% win rate)
- 0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 55921367, $5,850 (74% win rate)
- 0xc2e5...b3a5 — Outcome 55921367, $5,698 (66% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Outcome 55921367, $5,437 (71% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 55921367, $5,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 55921367, $4,846 (73% win rate)
- 0x2396...9485 — Outcome 55921367, $4,511 (87% win rate)
- 0x8089...f935 — Outcome 55921367, $4,500
- 0x5a56...10f5 — Outcome 55921367, $3,861 (75% win rate)
Related Theses
England Ghana ends 1-1
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Covers 4 related markets
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
Covers 4 related markets
Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
Covers 6 related markets
Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Early goal, exactly two total
Covers 4 related markets
Bosnia keeps low-scoring match close
Covers 4 related markets
