Part of: UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $554,529.

Categories: UFC, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors adding to Kauê

Two highly profitable bettors with 79% and 81% win rates are adding to Kauê Fernandes at 48-49¢ amid a major market-wide volume spike, despite substantial opposing Turner flow.

  • Two bettors win 79% and 81% of their trades while buying Kauê Fernandes around 48¢.
  • The wallets are adding to existing Kauê positions, including a $30,442 purchase and $129,041 already invested by one wallet.
  • More than $1 million traded in 24 hours, with a 512x spike versus the historical average and notable opposing Turner buying.

$36,282 on Kauê Fernandes

Sharp bettors scaling into Turner

Four wallets added $336,559 to Jalin Turner, including two profitable serial traders, amid a 796x volume spike.

  • Four wallets committed $336,559 to Jalin Turner, representing about 33% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • One bettor wins 96% of 293 trades and another wins 76% of 855, both with substantial lifetime profits.
  • The bets add to existing Turner positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking, while volume surged 796x its historical average.

$336,559 on Jalin Turner

Sharp bettor makes $12K Fernandes bet

A highly experienced bettor with 846 resolved trades and a substantial edge placed nearly $12,000 on Kauê Fernandes at even odds, dwarfing recent market activity.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 846 resolved trades and is up nearly $988,000 lifetime.
  • The $11,939 position represents 863% of the detected 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction.
  • They entered Kauê Fernandes at 50¢ while the market had recently fallen 7.5% over the week.

$117,998 on Kauê Fernandes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven sharp backs Fernandes

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,000 underdog bet amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 129 resolved trades and is up nearly $200,000.
  • They are making a fresh $2,000 bet on Kauê Fernandes at 49¢, near even odds.
  • Market activity is running at 3,273 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.

$2,000 on Kauê Fernandes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Elite bettor adds to Turner

A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $46,000 to Jalin Turner at 52%.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 462 resolved positions and is up $5.76 million.
  • They are adding $46,000 to an existing Jalin Turner position at 52%, signaling increased conviction.
  • The entry price implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Turner being priced near a coin flip.

$46,000 on Jalin Turner | Wallet win rate: 88%

99% win-rate serial bettor backs Kauê

A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $3,750 bet on Kauê Fernandes at even odds.

  • This bettor has won 1,840 of 1,859 resolved positions—99%—and is up $17.2 million.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,063 markets and 989 events, indicating an exceptionally consistent long-term record.
  • A fresh $3,750 position backs Kauê Fernandes at 50¢, implying the trader sees meaningful value near an even-money price.

$3,750 on Kauê Fernandes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettor makes $12K Fernandes bet

A highly experienced bettor with 846 resolved trades and a substantial edge placed nearly $12,000 on Kauê Fernandes at even odds, dwarfing recent market activity.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 846 resolved trades and is up nearly $988,000 lifetime.
  • The $11,939 position represents 863% of the detected 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction.
  • They entered Kauê Fernandes at 50¢ while the market had recently fallen 7.5% over the week.

$11,939 on Kauê Fernandes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 10245889, $729,338 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x8f8c...e275 Outcome 10245889, $36,144 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 10245889, $8,906 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x4608...d049 Outcome 10245889, $8,000 (79% win rate)
  5. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 10245889, $7,500 (99% win rate)
  6. 0x9c1c...7980 Outcome 10245889, $5,760 (75% win rate)
  7. 0x1518...2652 Outcome 10245889, $5,000 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x8239...d9a3 Outcome 10245889, $4,262 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 10245889, $4,255
  10. 0x5a56...10f5 Outcome 10245889, $4,082 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

England Ghana ends 1-1

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina-Austria stays low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Tunisia keeps Japan close

Covers 4 related markets

Iran New Zealand odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals

Covers 4 related markets

Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low

Covers 6 related markets

Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Early goal, exactly two total

Covers 4 related markets

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

ResolvedUFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)$554,529 tracked7 signalsUFCSportsGames

This market will resolve to "Jalin Turner" if Jalin Turner is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kauê Fernandes at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Kauê Fernandes" if Kauê Fernandes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$36,282 on Kauê Fernandes at 48¢

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$336,559 on Jalin Turner at 52¢

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$117,998 on Kauê Fernandes at 50¢

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$2,000 on Kauê Fernandes at 49¢

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$46,000 on Jalin Turner at 52¢

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$3,750 on Kauê Fernandes at 50¢

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

27d ago

$11,939 on Kauê Fernandes at 50¢

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus
Wallet_0xdb859 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Spread: Germany (-5.5)Spread: Germany (-4.5)
England Ghana ends 1-1
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Spread: England (-1.5)
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Hal…
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Will New Zealand win on 2026-0…Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15…Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand e…
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half …
Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 6 related markets
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: …
Early goal, exactly two total
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2…Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st H…Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0…