Part of: UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,177.

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market bettor on Vagaev

A serial cross-market trader with 1,408 resolved bets entered Vagaev at 76¢ amid a major volume spike and subsequent odds rise to 84¢, though the trader's record is not clearly above implied odds.

This bettor has traded 49 events with 1,408 resolved bets and is up $143,260 lifetime.
The $1,483 entry at 76¢ preceded a move to 84¢, while market volume surged 10.5 times its average.
The 72% win rate is notable, but the bettor's 83¢ average winning price makes the edge less conclusive.

$1,483 on Abubakar Vagaev | Wallet win rate: 72%

Five-wallet Vagaev buying cluster

Five wallets concentrated $64.7K on Vagaev, with a 53.9x volume spike and a 34-point weekly price rise, though much of the flow adds to existing positions and wallet quality is mixed.

Five wallets bought $64,694 on Vagaev, a position roughly 6.5 times the market's displayed liquidity.
The move coincided with a 53.9x volume spike and Vagaev rising from roughly 50% to 84% over the week.
Two participating bettors have strong records: one wins 85% of 48 resolved bets and another wins 72% of 1,408.

$64,694 on Abubakar Vagaev

Top Holders

0x37e0...024e — Outcome 40983170, $50,000 (71% win rate)
0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 40983170, $10,268 (74% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 40983170, $8,553 (64% win rate)
0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 40983170, $6,000 (44% win rate)
0x2deb...2b13 — Outcome 40983170, $5,853 (66% win rate)
0xeb69...cfd1 — Outcome 40983170, $3,609 (87% win rate)
0x47e8...efdc — Outcome 40983170, $3,148 (83% win rate)
0x0506...8c6a — Outcome 40983170, $2,787 (70% win rate)
0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 40983170, $2,581 (64% win rate)
0xb3f3...3426 — Outcome 40983170, $2,578 (77% win rate)

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UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)$66,177 tracked2 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Saygid Izagakhmaev at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Saygid Izagakhmaev" if Saygid Izagakhmaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.