Part of: UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Alessandro Costa" if Alessandro Costa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stewart Nicoll at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Stewart Nicoll" if Stewart Nicoll is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,723.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

3-wallet Costa cluster

Three wallets piled $16.8k into Alessandro Costa during a huge pre-fight volume spike, and one of them is a large serial cross-market bettor with over 1,000 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same side for $16.8k within minutes during a 324x volume spike.
One wallet has 1,073 resolved bets and is up $93.8k lifetime, which gives this cluster more credibility than random crowd flow.
They paid 79¢ while Costa now sits around 78¢, signaling conviction more than chasing a late breakout.

$16,753 on Alessandro Costa

82% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports bettor with an 82% win rate made a nearly $5k buy that exceeded the market’s recent daily volume, making this a credible conviction signal worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k overall.
They have bet across 101 events and 119 markets, which points to a repeatable sports trading edge.
The $4,970 buy was larger than the market’s recent daily volume and came in at 80¢, showing real conviction despite a fairly efficient price.

$4,970 on Alessandro Costa | Wallet win rate: 81%