UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,723.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

3-wallet Costa cluster

Three wallets piled $16.8k into Alessandro Costa during a huge pre-fight volume spike, and one of them is a large serial cross-market bettor with over 1,000 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $16.8k within minutes during a 324x volume spike.
  • One wallet has 1,073 resolved bets and is up $93.8k lifetime, which gives this cluster more credibility than random crowd flow.
  • They paid 79¢ while Costa now sits around 78¢, signaling conviction more than chasing a late breakout.

$16,753 on Alessandro Costa

82% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports bettor with an 82% win rate made a nearly $5k buy that exceeded the market’s recent daily volume, making this a credible conviction signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k overall.
  • They have bet across 101 events and 119 markets, which points to a repeatable sports trading edge.
  • The $4,970 buy was larger than the market’s recent daily volume and came in at 80¢, showing real conviction despite a fairly efficient price.

$4,970 on Alessandro Costa | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6551...e043 Outcome 86565576, $5,350 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x90ba...63f3 Outcome 86565576, $3,075
  3. 0xb0b3...6bf7 Outcome 86565576, $2,787
  4. 0x0434...a98c Outcome 86565576, $1,604
  5. 0xbfdf...8e02 Outcome 86565576, $1,230 (32% win rate)
  6. 0xc866...8c6d Outcome 86565576, $911 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x88f9...325d Outcome 86565576, $831
  8. 0x76f1...f655 Outcome 86565576, $824
  9. 0x8d87...8dbb Outcome 86565576, $720
  10. 0x12af...ff78 Outcome 86565576, $629 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

Resolved$21,723 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesUFC

This market will resolve to "Alessandro Costa" if Alessandro Costa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stewart Nicoll at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Stewart Nicoll" if Stewart Nicoll is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

3d ago

$16,753 on Alessandro Costa at 79¢

UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

3d ago

$4,970 on Alessandro Costa at 80¢

Related Theses

UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims) | PolySpotter