Part of: UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,300,460.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
82% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 82% win rate bought Rafa Garcia at 76¢ just before a fast move to 100%, making this a strong follow-worthy signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $893k across 420 bets
- They trade across 76 events and bought Rafa Garcia at 76¢ before the price jumped to 100%
- Entry at 76¢ implied a high-confidence edge, and the market moved 11 points in 5 minutes after the buy
$2,926 on Rafa Garcia | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp cluster chasing Rafa
Three wallets piled into Rafa Garcia as the price was breaking higher, including one standout bettor with an 82% win rate across 420 resolved markets, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing.
- A bettor who wins 82% of their trades and is up $893k joined this buy cluster
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes as Rafa Garcia jumped from 49¢-76¢ to 94¢
- Two of these wallets are heavy cross-market traders with 76 and 228 events tracked, suggesting this was a deliberate thesis rather than random action
$5,281 on Rafa Garcia
New whale hammering Hernandez
A brand-new wallet with repeated seven-figure flagged activity just put $56.5k into one side of a UFC market during a major volume spike, showing strong conviction even though there is no proven track record yet.
- A wallet less than 9 hours old has already triggered 53 large-bet alerts and just put $56.5k on Hernandez in 3 buys
- This hit during a 98.5x volume spike, suggesting fast money was crowding into this fight market at once
- They paid 53-54¢ while the market is now 50¢, so this looks like conviction rather than routine profit-taking
$56,517 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp trader fading spike
A highly active cross-market sports bettor with a large resolved sample sold Rafa Garcia at 72¢ before the market swung back to 50¢, a notable fade of a sharp pre-event move.
- This bettor has nearly 1,000 resolved bets with a 67% win rate across 168 events
- They sold Rafa Garcia at 72¢, and the market is now 50¢ after a 25-point price swing
- The trade hit during a 98x volume spike, suggesting they faded an overheated move rather than chasing it
$1,908 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 69%
New whale piling into favorite
A brand-new wallet with over $1.0M in repeated flagged activity just placed a concentrated $72k bet into a UFC market during an extreme volume spike, making this a strong conviction signal despite no proven track record yet.
- This wallet is less than 9 hours old and has already triggered 53 large-bet alerts totaling about $1.0M
- It just bought $72k of Alexander Hernandez in five clips at 53-54¢, showing concentrated conviction
- This fight market saw a 121x volume spike, suggesting multiple traders were rushing in around the same time
$72,255 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
New whale backing Rafa
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put $15k into Rafa Garcia during a major pre-fight volume spike, making it a notable conviction trade despite limited early results.
- A 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts and put nearly $119k to work
- This trade was a $15k buy on Rafa Garcia at 47¢ during a 121x jump in market volume
- The bettor bought into a liquid fight market with tight spreads, suggesting real conviction rather than a random punt
$15,040 on Rafa Garcia | Wallet win rate: 52%
New whale piling into Hernandez
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed very large size into Alexander Hernandez, and the buying coincides with an extreme pre-fight volume spike on a liquid UFC market.
- A wallet less than 9 hours old just bought about $200k of Alexander Hernandez across 10 trades
- This same new wallet has already been flagged 49 times for nearly $951k in large betting activity, showing unusually aggressive early sizing
- The market saw a 222x volume spike, suggesting this buyer is part of a meaningful pre-fight move rather than a routine trade
$200,285 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
New whale piling into Hernandez
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed very large size into this UFC side during an extreme pre-event volume spike, signaling unusually strong conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- An 8-hour-old wallet just bought $128k of Alexander Hernandez in 5 trades
- This same new wallet has already been flagged 48 times for large bets totaling about $936k
- Market activity is surging at 337x normal volume, suggesting informed money is moving before the fight
$128,030 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
New whale piling into Hernandez
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly deploying very large size into Alexander Hernandez during a major pre-fight volume surge, suggesting strong conviction worth watching despite no track record yet.
- An 8-hour-old wallet just bought $154k of Alexander Hernandez across 7 trades.
- This same wallet has already triggered 46 large-bet alerts for about $926k total, showing unusually aggressive early activity.
- The market is seeing a 219x volume spike, so this bet is landing during a sharp surge in attention and money flow.
$153,921 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
New whale piling into Hernandez
A brand-new wallet with no resolved history just placed a $110k concentrated bet on Alexander Hernandez, and it is part of an unusually large pre-fight volume surge.
- An 8-hour-old wallet just bought $110k of Alexander Hernandez in four trades
- This wallet has already been flagged 45 times for large early activity, with $892k in total flagged betting
- The market saw a 271x volume spike before the fight, and this bettor paid 53-54¢ in a near coin-flip market
$110,292 on Alexander Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x7966...6f94 — Outcome 10397284, $13,500 (92% win rate)
- 0x1d7f...a878 — Outcome 10397284, $9,856 (30% win rate)
- 0x1918...20d1 — Outcome 10397284, $9,651 (100% win rate)
- 0x20a8...f004 — Outcome 10397284, $4,463 (80% win rate)
- 0xfed2...4671 — Outcome 10397284, $4,316 (100% win rate)
- 0x3c7e...a65f — Outcome 10397284, $2,989
- 0xd1d9...5896 — Outcome 10397284, $1,991 (40% win rate)
- 0x8b96...1604 — Outcome 10397284, $1,520
- 0xb3f3...3426 — Outcome 10397284, $1,011
- 0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 10397284, $1,000 (62% win rate)
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