UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

This Polymarket tracks who will officially win the UFC Fight Night flyweight prelim between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo. The market resolves to the fighter declared the winner, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout ends in a draw, no contest, is canceled, or is postponed beyond May 2, 2026. Current interest includes $6,410 in tracked smart money and one recent sharp bettor alert.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,410.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins cluster

A proven sharp wallet with a 91% win rate joined a 3-wallet coordinated buy into Allan Nascimento, making the cluster worth watching despite mixed quality among the other wallets.

  • One bettor in this group wins 91% of their trades and is up $404k across 456 resolved bets
  • Three wallets bought Allan Nascimento for $6.4k total at 51-58¢, showing coordinated conviction
  • The market has swung down hard this week and now sits at 50¢, close to where this group built its position

$6,410 on Allan Nascimento

Top Holders

  1. 0xafba...e61b — Outcome 56812133, $1,960 (69% win rate)
  2. 0x4f22...6482 — Outcome 39345692, $1,805
  3. 0x360b...982f — Outcome 39345692, $1,500 (45% win rate)
  4. 0x555c...6669 — Outcome 39345692, $889
  5. 0x0a58...f9d8 — Outcome 39345692, $341
  6. 0xfe16...5fa2 — Outcome 39345692, $335
  7. 0x70f9...f25b — Outcome 39345692, $190
  8. 0x2b46...a55e — Outcome 56812133, $149
  9. 0xfa1d...8fa8 — Outcome 39345692, $75
  10. 0x068c...582e — Outcome 56812133, $55

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

1d$6,410 tracked1 signalSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

14h ago

$6,410 on Allan Nascimento at 55¢

Nascimento vs Raposo Polymarket Odds | PolySpotter